AI · resolved market
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aebf0de3b3b325075f4fd813d2884f5706b0ea1434a4745897af941b3ed1e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $728,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $818,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $728,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf426…e665backed No | 34c | 54,311$18,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,465.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…f95bbacked Yes | 66c | 54,311$35,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,465.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…8642backed Yes | 62c | 47,366$29,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,145.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 61c | 31,341$19,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,182.95 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…2e1fbacked No | 37c | 27,255$10,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,084.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…d295backed Yes | 63c | 27,255$17,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,084.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed Yes | 70c | 21,913$15,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…42d6backed No | 38c | 20,413$7,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,665.27 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +154.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5af…023fbacked No | 12c | 15,754$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…ee52backed No | 2c | 13,700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 72c | 13,312$9,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.96 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 60c | 11,335$6,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,569.11 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yes | 61c | 10,795$6,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…2841backed Yes | 71c | 10,682$7,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 57c | 10,430$5,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed Yes | 62c | 9,921$6,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.17 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 62c | 9,681$6,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 7c | 9,469$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.45 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 50c | 8,266$4,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.55 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…4febbacked Yes | 55c | 6,657$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…b5bcbacked No | 41c | 6,200$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.59 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5163…8a8ebacked No | 10c | 5,599$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 19c | 5,210$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Yes | 80c | 5,051$4,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.15 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 55c | 4,805$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5200backed Yes | 68c | 4,577$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 6c | 3,598$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.92 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Yes | 60c | 3,324$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…c466backed Yes | 75c | 3,066$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed No | 51c | 2,953$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.16 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…7ff6backed No | 47c | 2,906$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +332.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca9…bef1backed No | 35c | 2,825$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked Yes | 63c | 2,663$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 66c | 2,659$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.94 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c8…e6bdbacked Yes | 76c | 2,634$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 67c | 2,348$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.69 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 70c | 2,083$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 79c | 2,061$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.03 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…3181backed Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes | 54c | 1,740$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.85 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed Yes | 50c | 1,713$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.59 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 32c | 1,628$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.61 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,559$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +87%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 17c | 1,537$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 42c | 1,424$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.43 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…c86dbacked Yes | 64c | 1,400$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,368$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.15 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,321$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed No | 30c | 1,300$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66f8…cc2bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,164$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +982.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0147…85d4backed Yes | 70c | 1,133$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 71c | 1,131$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.46 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked Yes | 76c | 1,131$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…3583backed Yes | 57c | 1,127$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 37c | 1,059$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.54 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c8…6e68backed No | 41c | 1,035$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Yes | 67c | 1,008$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 36c | 1,002$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 58c | 999.98$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.69 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 41c | 991.95$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.49 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 5c | 969.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 31c | 921.47$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.92 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 66c | 903.93$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked Yes | 73c | 886.21$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.43 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 885.84$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Yes | 57c | 870.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 76c | 838.99$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.57 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked No | 54c | 822.74$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 55c | 809.96$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.38 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d9…bb87backed Yes | 60c | 790.95$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1438…1c4abacked Yes | 57c | 780.02$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 39c | 775.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…c76ebacked Yes | 65c | 767.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…d46dbacked Yes | 65c | 754.92$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…f6e8backed No | 5c | 745.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 729.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed No | 32c | 725$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 61c | 697.6$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 69c | 685.67$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 68c | 661.1$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +252.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…775fbacked No | 42c | 660$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 61c | 660$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…4c7bbacked Yes | 57c | 659.23$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d68…3041backed No | 3c | 645.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…dafcbacked Yes | 53c | 633.7$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…d02cbacked Yes | 75c | 629.9$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db1…7ed3backed Yes | 53c | 623.19$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 19c | 615.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…b2eabacked Yes | 50c | 600.74$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Yes | 57c | 587.44$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Yes | 67c | 575.21$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…c391backed Yes | 69c | 564.56$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 60c | 551$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.91 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 64c | 550$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 66c | 520$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…91b1backed Yes | 79c | 510.03$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?No won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.