AI · resolved market
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35aed80885e3ab530bebb869e31c713b9238204ab7f134b857d024e8e77c0681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $471,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 51,962$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.03 | 631 | 1.3%8 W · 623 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 1c | 22,839$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c5…4109backed Yes | 2c | 22,392$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.29 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed Yes | 3c | 20,509$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.76 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 1c | 13,676$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 10,600$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 257 | 0.8%2 W · 255 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…fc1bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,355$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8422…a1ebbacked Yes | 2c | 10,294$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Yes | 3c | 8,336$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 1c | 8,026$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 99 | 15.2%15 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…b789backed Yes | 2c | 7,295$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.92 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,718$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.37 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3216backed Yes | 2c | 6,199$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 6,087$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…5e6ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,940$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…b5bcbacked Yes | 4c | 5,899$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +261.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f0…8646backed Yes | 7c | 5,596$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 3c | 4,863$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.76 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 4,825$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…c419backed Yes | 23c | 4,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 3c | 4,106$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 4,002$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 212 | 0.9%2 W · 210 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,790$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 82 | 1.2%1 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…c0e1backed Yes | 1c | 3,789$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…741bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,422$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6b…3e7abacked Yes | 2c | 2,870$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…778cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,867$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…913cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,559$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,540$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…492abacked Yes | 1c | 2,469$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf25…be9ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,354$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 2,266$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…c76ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,141$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…4273backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 2c | 1,867$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,825$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 1,368 | 6.8%93 W · 1,275 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 3c | 1,774$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 1c | 1,716$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 5c | 1,493$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0034…1767backed Yes | 1c | 1,467$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e23…eed9backed Yes | 2c | 1,374$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5977…e5a4backed Yes | 1c | 1,210$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270a…7b78backed Yes | 3c | 1,195$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9308…e2f5backed Yes | 4c | 1,115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed9e…0d91backed Yes | 2c | 1,103$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Yes | 3c | 1,027$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed13…e733backed Yes | 2c | 1,017$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…0242backed Yes | 4c | 1,009$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 3c | 974.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…e49ebacked Yes | 2c | 946.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8128…e88dbacked Yes | 4c | 894.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…5e6cbacked Yes | 2c | 884$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…8667backed Yes | 4c | 845.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…145dbacked Yes | 2c | 825.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25aa…8208backed Yes | 3c | 783$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c5…572ebacked Yes | 2c | 766.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 3c | 740$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 2c | 719.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3166…a9febacked Yes | 3c | 696.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…a396backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972d…bb92backed Yes | 6c | 653.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…59f6backed Yes | 3c | 603.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 50c | 598$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.4 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +6.1wins | +0.36per pick | 41cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 4c | 569.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 3c | 533.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…448abacked Yes | 4c | 507.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked Yes | 3c | 484.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…0ca0backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7a…cc34backed Yes | 3c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427d…bdf1backed Yes | 5c | 396.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 3c | 392.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…fd85backed Yes | 3c | 365$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…3b13backed Yes | 6c | 361.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…daaebacked Yes | 6c | 337.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…f499backed Yes | 5c | 316.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…fb06backed Yes | 7c | 304.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed Yes | 13c | 299.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 4c | 271.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -89%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 262$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 303 | 27.4%83 W · 220 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…a11dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…a343backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?this page
- Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?No won
- Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?No won
- Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes won
- Will Meta have the top AI model on April 30?No won
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?No won
- Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.