NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15a1617ffcc00cfab956663c1396604d1b56753af8bd2e20b07459a4a9b10d3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bears of Bills , Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Bills | 41c | 21,869$9,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,042.23 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Bears | 58c | 12,216$7,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.53 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Bills | 34c | 5,938$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.39 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Bears | 64c | 5,735$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.68 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bills | 1c | 5,681$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…5d71backed Bears | 60c | 3,582$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Bears | 58c | 2,378$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.74 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bills | 1c | 2,072$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bears | 57c | 2,072$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.22 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Bears | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bills | 2c | 1,719$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Bills | 1c | 1,356$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…7a36backed Bills | 41c | 1,088$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Bears | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Bears | 58c | 884.63$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…2270backed Bills | 48c | 820.31$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.25 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Bills | 43c | 815.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Bills | 41c | 799.98$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.99 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Bears | 60c | 740.48$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.19 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Bears | 67c | 641.53$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.43 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Bills | 42c | 638.1$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…975dbacked Bills | 42c | 586.57$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Bears | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bears | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Bears | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Bears | 57c | 419.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.6 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Bills | 43c | 419.75$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.69 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bills | 16c | 402.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Bills | 42c | 343.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Bears | 57c | 326.18$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…5830backed Bills | 37c | 322.94$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.27 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…99c6backed Bills | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Bills | 22c | 285.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bears | 64c | 262.32$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Bears | 59c | 250.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.53 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Bills | 41c | 245.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Bears | 59c | 244.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…b34ebacked Bills | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bills | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Bears | 69c | 232.44$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 148 | 60.8%90 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bills | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bills | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Bears | 60c | 213.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Bears | 59c | 213.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Bears | 59c | 212.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Bills | 13c | 203.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bills | 41c | 200.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…5518backed Bills | 29c | 169.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Bears | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Bills | 31c | 159.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Bears | 57c | 158.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.24 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…61b1backed Bears | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bears | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Bears | 56c | 149.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -9.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bills | 33c | 139.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bears | 55c | 128.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Bills | 44c | 127.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bears | 57c | 125.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Bills | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…d90cbacked Bills | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Bills | 44c | 111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Bears | 79c | 106.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bears | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Bears | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Bears | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bears | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Bills | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Bills | 35c | 99.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…e2f7backed Bills | 45c | 93.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…3d68backed Bills | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Bills | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d51…58a3backed Bills | 42c | 78.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Bears | 57c | 76.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed Bills | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Bears | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe435…0bb1backed Bears | 59c | 67.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Bears | 74c | 67.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…f095backed Bills | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bills | 32c | 57.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Bears | 61c | 51.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…e199backed Bears | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Bills | 31c | 48.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…9de8backed Bills | 43c | 48.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 33cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…ab82backed Bills | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Bills | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc5…6ed8backed Bills | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…0aaebacked Bears | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Bills | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…60fbbacked Bills | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Bears | 57c | 36.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…0f46backed Bears | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Bears | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Bears | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bills | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Bills | 42c | 31.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…e623backed Bears | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4050…5889backed Bills | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…e860backed Bears | 68c | 29.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…5f97backed Bills | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Bears | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.