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NHL · resolved market

Panthers vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Panthers, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,943,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,871,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,943,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 604 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7abe…b47ebacked Oilers52c356,435$186,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186,165.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Panthers49c223,808$109,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114,142.261631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Oilers42c191,793$79,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,729.4926344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Oilers31c178,771$54,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,786.541060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9708…925bbacked Panthers50c175,000$87,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Oilers51c160,000$81,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,6008749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Panthers48c130,000$62,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,6002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Panthers67c119,663$79,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,788.8314538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Panthers47c100,000$47,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,0007758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Oilers46c91,703$42,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,036.8510745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Panthers48c90,000$43,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,50011354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec7…f646backed Oilers51c52,380$26,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,713.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Panthers53c43,818$23,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,422.221947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Panthers78c40,342$31,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,869.75164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Panthers48c37,422$17,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,631.145644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d9…da5ebacked Panthers47c34,011$16,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,929.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Panthers61c33,348$20,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,919.1931546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Panthers49c31,027$15,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,823.6651044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Oilers15c30,092$4,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,538.564134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Panthers47c28,858$13,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,294.74616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Oilers38c27,698$10,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,590.5211441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers47c25,000$11,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,285.6866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Panthers49c23,093$11,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,777.5610448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Oilers0c20,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Panthers60c19,166$11,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,630.166764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Oilers51c18,490$9,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,429.936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Panthers50c18,420$9,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,260.1319555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Panthers49c17,500$8,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,98586649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Oilers27c15,996$4,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,288.552,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Panthers47c15,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,9502055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3451…49a5backed Panthers50c12,700$6,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,350.11540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers47c11,912$5,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,313.0992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Oilers52c10,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,15011141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Oilers51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1006448.4%31 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Panthers50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00021750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Panthers49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1007352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce37…b17bbacked Oilers30c9,532$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.51837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Oilers12c9,038$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08519438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers51c8,888$4,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,532.885147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Panthers68c8,544$5,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,697.311,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6919…5effbacked Oilers32c8,534$2,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,773.083040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0144…86f5backed Oilers13c7,691$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Panthers47c7,236$3,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,835.0828440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ea…22ecbacked Oilers54c6,800$3,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,67230%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Oilers50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Oilers23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1504641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers48c4,833$2,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.791,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Oilers51c4,695$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.446746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Oilers54c4,630$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Panthers65c4,601$2,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.53,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Oilers51c4,510$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Oilers35c4,500$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5656946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Panthers77c4,430$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.21580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Panthers49c4,416$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,252.161741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+106.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Oilers51c4,331$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.632941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers47c4,255$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.1572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Panthers80c4,245$3,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.055858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Oilers4c4,070$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.081458.3%12 W · 133 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+135.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Oilers53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1209942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Oilers52c3,965$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.9925555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae7…91debacked Panthers51c3,943$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.471662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Oilers47c3,760$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.5228842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Oilers7c3,715$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.1914542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11e5…8a64backed Oilers19c3,400$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Panthers48c3,339$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.5637738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71ca…3501backed Oilers51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Oilers51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers15c3,089$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.121,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6441…4e5bbacked Oilers13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Oilers39c2,837$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.82123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-56.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x665f…9a23backed Oilers38c2,800$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0641118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Oilers1c2,700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355820.7%12 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Oilers3c2,692$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Panthers59c2,640$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.7458467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4c80…a608backed Panthers49c2,532$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f32…1532backed Oilers28c2,519$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002020%4 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bbb…3607backed Panthers77c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5751850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Oilers2c2,445$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.511895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Oilers18c2,400$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Oilers51c2,396$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.885632.1%18 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Oilers1c2,345$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-84.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Oilers51c2,322$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.0112355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x348a…9dd0backed Panthers68c2,242$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf366…bd1ebacked Panthers47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Oilers4c2,101$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.084050%20 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa329…b8ecbacked Oilers19c2,002$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Panthers48c2,001$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.7281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Panthers49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.991154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Oilers50c1,990$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99520147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Oilers51c1,957$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9981656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Panthers48c1,935$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.3313363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad79…4c37backed Oilers8c1,860$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Panthers50c1,760$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8808345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Oilers51c1,719$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.5612462.9%78 W · 46 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Oilers1c1,676$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.681016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers48c1,670$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.4484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a9…1769backed Oilers3c1,631$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers5c1,612$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5454418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb260…a44ebacked Panthers49c1,577$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.