MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88399329ace8b8c43b57c23923b4930c2091368fb078a22cfd90c1e4404781c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $523,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $529,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 50c | 280,826$140,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,047.72 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Astros | 50c | 111,300$55,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,650 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Astros | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 50c | 33,332$16,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,506 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 50c | 28,413$14,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,209.63 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Astros | 51c | 23,650$12,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,647.08 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 49c | 15,726$7,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,697.95 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 51c | 15,521$7,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,606.22 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 39c | 15,203$5,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,931.75 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Astros | 52c | 13,753$7,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630.39 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Orioles | 21c | 13,255$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.54 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 51c | 11,111$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.39 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Astros | 50c | 9,098$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.84 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Astros | 50c | 8,974$4,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Orioles | 49c | 8,490$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.37 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Astros | 50c | 8,080$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,040 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Astros | 50c | 7,829$3,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,923.94 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Astros | 50c | 4,224$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Orioles | 50c | 4,224$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Astros | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.2 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 51c | 3,915$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.93 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 49c | 3,492$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.64 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Orioles | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 5c | 2,930$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.15 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Orioles | 54c | 2,871$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.38 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 51c | 2,808$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.14 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Orioles | 51c | 2,401$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.6 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 9c | 2,175$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Orioles | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 19c | 1,600$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.83 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 27c | 1,526$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.83 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…12e0backed Orioles | 49c | 1,188$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…c03bbacked Astros | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…4b33backed Astros | 51c | 1,170$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931e…8547backed Orioles | 49c | 1,162$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8570…52b5backed Astros | 51c | 1,137$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…92c8backed Orioles | 49c | 1,133$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 33c | 1,112$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.64 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2f…59b1backed Orioles | 49c | 1,082$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c4…fe7bbacked Astros | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…19b7backed Astros | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Orioles | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Orioles | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Orioles | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Orioles | 50c | 902.28$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.14 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 41c | 900$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Astros | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…45e8backed Orioles | 51c | 776.79$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Orioles | 51c | 703.74$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.91 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Orioles | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 30c | 666.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Astros | 50c | 610$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…98fbbacked Orioles | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros | 51c | 599.65$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.22 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Orioles | 43c | 599.62$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.71 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 49c | 583.12$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.66 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…4622backed Astros | 45c | 576.47$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.43per pick | 43cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Orioles | 3c | 575.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Astros | 52c | 553.17$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.52 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Orioles | 8c | 545.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Orioles | 51c | 524$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.24 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684a…1b69backed Astros | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Orioles | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…0783backed Orioles | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c04cbacked Astros | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 48c | 496.31$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.23 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…2807backed Astros | 50c | 496$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…5b83backed Orioles | 51c | 494.12$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 48c | 492.61$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.45 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 78c | 457.33$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Astros | 50c | 434.38$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.19 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Astros | 51c | 406$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.94 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Astros | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.39 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…7c8cbacked Orioles | 51c | 282.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…7b0ebacked Astros | 50c | 281.82$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Astros | 64c | 277.02$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 23c | 230$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Orioles | 6c | 217$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Orioles | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Astros | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astros vs. Oriolesthis page
- Astros vs. Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Astros (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.