TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No51c45,000$22,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,05017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c33,848$17,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,027.054,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes49c27,978$13,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,709.169450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed No50c25,000$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,500933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06014647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes55c3,192$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.7727453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes50c2,500$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.140033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x971e…f9e2backed Yes49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02012050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9813046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No50c1,882$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1215750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78a…7166backed No52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c1,150$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.9550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes50c1,012$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.910956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49018650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71bd…28c4backed No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed No51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.394358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Yes50c770$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes49c626.18$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.833638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29414348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked No14c600$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5165724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked Yes49c561.22$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27512757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes50c530$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2655058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Yes49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452560%15 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c429.29$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.133,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed No49c410.44$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.322254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+42.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes48c373.07$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e40…e093backed Yes49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15311947.1%56 W · 63 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1475646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc73d…7a3abacked Yes49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e37…4a79backed No52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked No24c291.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.674330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No19c290.48$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.830743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes48c270.19$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6928055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf34f…4d6ebacked Yes79c253.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes70c253.32$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No30c253.32$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3225872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No52c232.5$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.65040%20 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes58c225$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5514067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes51c218.56$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.476836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11629545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd483…756dbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed No53c165.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.811520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes50c151.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8953242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c5…b378backed Yes80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes50c124.64$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.324961.2%30 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed No9c121.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.62825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+59.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d27…c460backed Yes49c111.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.181030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36c8…6737backed No52c105.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885028%14 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c0a…4912backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4950%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493571.4%25 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4aa4…a202backed No51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671f…af9cbacked No51c97.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.61580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20f2…0bc9backed No52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No51c93.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.917060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked No51c65.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.191241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4591…df1bbacked No52c57.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.792365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f99…a5dfbacked Yes53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…6a93backed Yes49c55.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No21c50.19$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.651942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+138.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes79c50.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.653231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Yes49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x642f…31fcbacked No49c42.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.861181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+53.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc21e…94b2backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdad7…7df0backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…e758backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked No50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205060%30 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755d…06a9backed No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3024…8ecebacked No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes71c38.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5529038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked No40c37.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.757357.5%42 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No37c35.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1921648.6%105 W · 111 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6780…e6babacked Yes50c33.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0ff8…3011backed No51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes48c28.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5312551.2%64 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No50c21.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5714854.1%80 W · 68 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102560%15 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7d…2c5bbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25af…b81ebacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.3717155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.