La Liga · resolved market
Will Osasuna vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf65dbce840d61ae30b1af18e5e104a9ad68211ac4eecb5ec2be826a9fc7dc763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 30c | 15,000$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,549.99 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 71c | 8,970$6,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,368.7 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 70c | 7,344$5,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.05 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…f4e1backed No | 71c | 2,821$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 29c | 2,615$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.38 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 70c | 2,014$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.8 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 9c | 1,390$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.7 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,356$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 70c | 1,196$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 1,179$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.73 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 1,084$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Yes | 31c | 603.23$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 31c | 558.06$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.06 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 21c | 505$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.45 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 417.2$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.04 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 25c | 406.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 76c | 397.25$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.85 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…d31ebacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 69c | 275.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.29 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Yes | 28c | 266.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.63 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 21c | 233.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 70c | 183.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 28c | 168.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…7fddbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e40…e093backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Osasuna vs. Elche CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-25?No won
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-09-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.