World Politics · resolved market
Choo Kyung-ho in jail by November 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9692457f7a75d6905ea1b9d5ecb679cd7e5e30e212bc16582bb0455fdc2414b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed No | 74c | 11,366$8,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.59 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 5c | 9,061$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 25c | 8,762$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.47 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 70c | 6,752$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.79 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…b73abacked Yes | 4c | 6,142$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +538.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 17c | 5,988$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.95 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 4,969$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.96 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…4e3ebacked No | 80c | 4,180$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 1c | 3,703$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 3,100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,700$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…91fbbacked Yes | 40c | 2,443$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…5380backed Yes | 21c | 2,165$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 18c | 2,154$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.22 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 19c | 1,644$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.76 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc894…b9f6backed Yes | 18c | 1,515$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.66 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8c…a00bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,453$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…6768backed Yes | 23c | 1,285$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b04abacked Yes | 40c | 1,092$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.38 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked No | 74c | 1,044$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…1a20backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…16d4backed Yes | 24c | 979.69$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 906.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2819…34fcbacked Yes | 12c | 830.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…43efbacked No | 70c | 696.41$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 73c | 684$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1020…3aacbacked Yes | 2c | 676.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 2c | 645$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 601.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fa…16cbbacked Yes | 11c | 600$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…a71cbacked No | 75c | 540$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…35bcbacked No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccd…3055backed No | 69c | 465.74$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859f…112fbacked Yes | 18c | 460.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ed…9091backed Yes | 6c | 457$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…621abacked Yes | 5c | 417.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Yes | 41c | 401$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…0f90backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6b…4e3ebacked Yes | 30c | 399$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 23c | 350.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 66c | 316.96$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.78 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…c6b9backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aff…0c00backed Yes | 36c | 291$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…69aabacked No | 73c | 269$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 13c | 246.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed Yes | 18c | 224.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e5…31b5backed Yes | 30c | 222.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 217$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 209.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…36dcbacked No | 79c | 192.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f7…071cbacked No | 69c | 182.28$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…3df7backed Yes | 38c | 179.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked No | 65c | 176.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…a307backed Yes | 25c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 16c | 167.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 21c | 148.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 12c | 139.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 120.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…621fbacked Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 22c | 100.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0511…3069backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…1acebacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…f4f1backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…9abbbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9266backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…bdb2backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b88bbacked Yes | 30c | 77.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Yes | 15c | 77.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…a12abacked Yes | 33c | 53.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…1638backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…7761backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…ebf8backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x020d…118bbacked No | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…2151backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…90afbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…1358backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…024dbacked No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 64c | 33.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7728…f932backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…e6babacked No | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229d…44adbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d3…f212backed No | 71c | 29.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…35b7backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…a042backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…4427backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…f4aebacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df0…abc4backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…12d3backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.