Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs MGN Vikings Esports (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2ff2dca72ab251488356e8a41e51ea5fd969d97f5dc956a8f2244eead30066a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ninjas in Pyjamasof Ninjas in Pyjamas, MGN Vikings Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MGN Vikings Esports | 19c | 23,285$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.24 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 73c | 13,312$9,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.95 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 69c | 9,268$6,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,423.36 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…d20fbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 21c | 6,103$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.6 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed MGN Vikings Esports | 60c | 5,876$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.88 | 462 | 63.9%295 W · 167 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 73c | 5,639$4,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.83 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 72c | 3,200$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 66c | 2,388$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.43 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 72c | 2,148$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.5 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 28c | 2,139$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MGN Vikings Esports | 18c | 1,921$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…dd27backed MGN Vikings Esports | 68c | 1,531$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MGN Vikings Esports | 15c | 1,515$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.25 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed MGN Vikings Esports | 11c | 1,500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MGN Vikings Esports | 17c | 1,160$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MGN Vikings Esports | 13c | 1,100$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.25 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked MGN Vikings Esports | 47c | 891.53$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed MGN Vikings Esports | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed MGN Vikings Esports | 28c | 681.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…2aa9backed MGN Vikings Esports | 15c | 650$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed MGN Vikings Esports | 39c | 505.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.3 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…1a00backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…45ddbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 65c | 482.79$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed MGN Vikings Esports | 12c | 464.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768e…4a91backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 54c | 300$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 299.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 18c | 285.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 23c | 199.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MGN Vikings Esports | 10c | 154$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed MGN Vikings Esports | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed MGN Vikings Esports | 12c | 149.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MGN Vikings Esports | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8553…e657backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 80c | 125.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed MGN Vikings Esports | 17c | 123.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 73c | 123$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 49c | 119.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed MGN Vikings Esports | 53c | 115.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 103.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed MGN Vikings Esports | 21c | 95.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed MGN Vikings Esports | 56c | 86.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…5848backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 72c | 79.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MGN Vikings Esports | 67c | 72.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 39c | 64.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 77c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed MGN Vikings Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 53c | 48.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…0799backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 38.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4c…5350backed MGN Vikings Esports | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…9cb3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.