AI · resolved market
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89fd0f2ac1bab63b7018a43e792d33b336bd51780bd5fe9363dc990cc9a801c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $975,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,144,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $975,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Yes | 22c | 248,227$55,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,392.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 65c | 52,841$34,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,355.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 79c | 52,794$41,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,893.35 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed No | 78c | 25,560$19,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,672.46 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 76c | 20,722$15,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,019.87 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked No | 78c | 20,021$15,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.51 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x513b…9addbacked Yes | 25c | 16,641$4,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,128.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 61c | 16,275$9,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,346.45 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…36b0backed Yes | 17c | 15,980$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 19c | 14,553$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.71 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdd…d33fbacked No | 62c | 13,228$8,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,026.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 15c | 12,753$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.02 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 78c | 12,585$9,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ee2dbacked Yes | 34c | 12,213$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185.45 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…af04backed No | 72c | 11,078$7,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…898bbacked Yes | 32c | 10,499$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7504…9c69backed No | 59c | 10,492$6,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,265.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 9,915$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 41c | 9,284$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.38 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…711ebacked Yes | 29c | 9,152$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 63c | 8,471$5,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…1592backed Yes | 27c | 8,346$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.51 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 14c | 8,170$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…5277backed Yes | 29c | 5,625$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496e…f06fbacked Yes | 33c | 5,592$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 31c | 5,263$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed No | 65c | 4,800$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe388…3bfabacked Yes | 22c | 4,444$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 25c | 4,439$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.71 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…4a0ebacked Yes | 38c | 4,366$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked No | 71c | 4,229$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.16 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 77c | 4,024$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.2 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 65c | 4,000$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…566fbacked Yes | 27c | 3,943$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 74c | 3,828$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 58c | 3,565$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…81a8backed Yes | 59c | 3,400$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…a57cbacked Yes | 41c | 3,390$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 78c | 3,300$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 3,280$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…f2b9backed Yes | 4c | 3,039$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked No | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…c006backed Yes | 29c | 2,990$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked No | 74c | 2,950$2,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 69c | 2,917$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.03 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 56c | 2,908$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.41 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…82fbbacked Yes | 33c | 2,884$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…883fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,878$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…1f4fbacked No | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 33c | 2,843$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.3 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 79c | 2,750$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…d36abacked No | 73c | 2,746$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…89c2backed Yes | 40c | 2,733$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked No | 76c | 2,503$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…6df1backed No | 80c | 2,475$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 77c | 2,459$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x537b…ef7fbacked Yes | 31c | 2,343$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…68d1backed Yes | 25c | 2,265$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…d440backed No | 70c | 2,234$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…7ef2backed No | 62c | 2,091$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd540…b2febacked No | 70c | 2,050$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71a…5d4bbacked Yes | 40c | 2,035$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…c363backed Yes | 39c | 2,011$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f04…b950backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 70c | 1,820$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cda…cd10backed No | 71c | 1,814$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed No | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…cdaabacked Yes | 33c | 1,781$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked No | 74c | 1,743$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.92 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f1…a195backed No | 68c | 1,730$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…ee9cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,707$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0149…38d0backed Yes | 31c | 1,594$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5f…55ccbacked Yes | 34c | 1,592$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Yes | 66c | 1,547$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb0…2d0fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…a807backed Yes | 35c | 1,455$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 75c | 1,447$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.22 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked No | 70c | 1,400$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…3dfabacked Yes | 24c | 1,400$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe7…509abacked Yes | 35c | 1,347$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…9788backed Yes | 45c | 1,346$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed No | 63c | 1,300$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…95e2backed Yes | 45c | 1,259$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…a2c4backed No | 74c | 1,259$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6e…5c3dbacked No | 72c | 1,250$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…df91backed No | 62c | 1,200$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 69c | 1,193$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 1,170$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.24 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…2719backed Yes | 43c | 1,168$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…b1d4backed Yes | 52c | 1,153$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed No | 74c | 1,149$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…d6eebacked Yes | 36c | 1,147$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd862…f781backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 77c | 1,090$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 14c | 1,082$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…a167backed No | 59c | 1,065$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…433bbacked No | 79c | 1,063$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 78c | 1,062$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.84 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.