Lol · resolved market
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3ea621abe7c9f37503c3177e501c46db85e81dec22fef971a8a5dc18a88fed6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 17,756$7,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,178.34 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 17,165$8,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,621.67 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 51c | 15,661$7,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,958.41 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32c | 12,855$4,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113.89 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked BNK FEARX | 60c | 6,723$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.12 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 6,667$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.24 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d59…d20fbacked BNK FEARX | 59c | 5,834$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.53 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 39c | 5,702$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.59 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked BNK FEARX | 49c | 4,900$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.99 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…0425backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 3,627$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.65 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed BNK FEARX | 55c | 3,006$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.23 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…7076backed BNK FEARX | 71c | 2,474$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.82 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 38c | 2,382$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.82 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 2,360$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.4 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 18c | 2,096$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.89 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed BNK FEARX | 54c | 2,026$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.89 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked BNK FEARX | 58c | 2,003$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.36 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 38c | 2,001$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.31 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed BNK FEARX | 56c | 1,834$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.04 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 1,626$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.89 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 1,541$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…6658backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 53c | 1,526$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed BNK FEARX | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 23c | 1,450$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.76 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 18c | 1,386$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9378…d2ddbacked BNK FEARX | 61c | 1,319$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.72 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 1,197$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.11 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768e…4a91backed BNK FEARX | 48c | 1,196$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 44c | 1,192$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.31 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf8…5d1dbacked BNK FEARX | 61c | 1,096$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.29 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 1,076$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.72 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 44c | 1,060$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.32 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed BNK FEARX | 46c | 964.28$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.57 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 50c | 807.03$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.47 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed BNK FEARX | 67c | 708.98$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.04 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 32c | 605.38$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.02 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed BNK FEARX | 51c | 582.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.73 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…a356backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 22c | 491.27$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 450$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed BNK FEARX | 66c | 428.54$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.49 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 39c | 426.86$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 31c | 400$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 387.08$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed BNK FEARX | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 48c | 366.52$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked BNK FEARX | 50c | 348.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1280…4f9bbacked BNK FEARX | 72c | 331.81$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked BNK FEARX | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…1f3ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 43c | 293.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 260.14$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 249.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 238.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.82 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…17d4backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 224.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed BNK FEARX | 65c | 222.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 217.06$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked BNK FEARX | 52c | 210.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked BNK FEARX | 52c | 199.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…1a00backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 192.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…97dabacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 177.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed BNK FEARX | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed BNK FEARX | 61c | 173.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…4b34backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 171.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 171.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked BNK FEARX | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked BNK FEARX | 59c | 159$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed BNK FEARX | 59c | 142$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked BNK FEARX | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked BNK FEARX | 59c | 111.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 56c | 106$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked BNK FEARX | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked BNK FEARX | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed BNK FEARX | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +209%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked BNK FEARX | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…b68ebacked BNK FEARX | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa904…9cecbacked BNK FEARX | 74c | 87.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…492ebacked BNK FEARX | 52c | 83.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 16c | 80.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed BNK FEARX | 67c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed BNK FEARX | 60c | 76.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed BNK FEARX | 58c | 74.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 25c | 70.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked BNK FEARX | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa629…e15cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 54c | 63.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.