World Politics · resolved market
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9425f69ce7fbde7ee54887ea24b164d2d4c06b594c4d4f94b1921cd79321b19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,197,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,241,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,197,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0daf…662bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,792,522$214,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214,295.19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…d4dcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,300,179$24,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,948.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 5cpaid | +178.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2748…65e6backed Yes | 1c | 1,914,568$10,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,416.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked Yes | 0c | 1,806,312$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,258,684$45,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,732.02 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…2715backed Yes | 2c | 914,044$21,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,123.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…e4bbbacked Yes | 1c | 699,593$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 688,796$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.27 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…faa3backed Yes | 5c | 669,100$36,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,424.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 6c | 623,316$38,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,511.72 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 1c | 596,713$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +411.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc65…4d24backed Yes | 4c | 595,719$24,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,555.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Yes | 4c | 589,736$24,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,672.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…c6c2backed Yes | 1c | 559,431$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b21…eaf9backed Yes | 1c | 554,825$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 5c | 537,882$24,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,508.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…5e39backed Yes | 6c | 519,338$30,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,105.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…a5eabacked Yes | 1c | 477,723$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +514%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…e7d9backed Yes | 5c | 441,573$20,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,685.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c1…9deebacked Yes | 1c | 435,403$3,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,744.78 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…8ea1backed Yes | 0c | 385,430$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.85 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +447.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…2b9dbacked Yes | 4c | 383,747$16,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,758.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 375,406$14,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,628.93 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…d1e6backed Yes | 4c | 365,817$14,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,560.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…ad1cbacked Yes | 5c | 361,331$19,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,007.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 5c | 358,972$18,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,444.75 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…8f66backed Yes | 1c | 356,929$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,702.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8386…64d7backed Yes | 4c | 352,963$15,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,532.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 3c | 344,669$9,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,441.82 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 1c | 335,912$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +1,373.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b232backed Yes | 0c | 333,923$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…c056backed Yes | 5c | 319,223$14,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,859.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…0007backed Yes | 1c | 301,799$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…c849backed Yes | 4c | 300,284$11,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,123.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6a…5482backed Yes | 3c | 300,153$8,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,681.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4434…8ae6backed Yes | 7c | 292,618$19,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,282.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28c…5de7backed Yes | 6c | 285,358$16,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,937.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 4c | 271,122$11,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,572.88 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…45d5backed Yes | 4c | 264,569$10,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,525.02 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…6e0ebacked Yes | 2c | 263,347$6,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,529.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 11cpaid | +704.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf039…cb4abacked Yes | 2c | 253,972$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,840.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…2fe6backed Yes | 3c | 251,260$6,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,560.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 6c | 240,832$13,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,553.64 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…92dbbacked Yes | 1c | 236,451$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…0f04backed Yes | 4c | 225,355$9,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,917.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…a438backed Yes | 4c | 219,620$9,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,682.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…f270backed Yes | 0c | 212,467$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.86 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…0d68backed Yes | 3c | 209,432$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.76 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…d49dbacked Yes | 1c | 192,624$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…72debacked Yes | 2c | 190,441$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,307.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…4227backed Yes | 5c | 189,454$9,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,464.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 4c | 185,302$7,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,519.9 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed Yes | 5c | 184,173$8,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,649.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +296.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…e7eebacked Yes | 1c | 180,666$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed Yes | 2c | 174,696$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.91 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…a494backed Yes | 1c | 169,027$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005f…2f06backed Yes | 4c | 165,993$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…203cbacked Yes | 3c | 165,537$4,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,395.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…7e1fbacked Yes | 2c | 165,141$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…6430backed Yes | 1c | 165,069$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…54afbacked Yes | 3c | 162,546$4,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.86 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…1afdbacked Yes | 3c | 158,075$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…96f0backed Yes | 0c | 157,720$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 4c | 156,293$6,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,155.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…98b5backed Yes | 4c | 155,192$6,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…d560backed Yes | 6c | 153,463$8,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,963.36 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…48e3backed Yes | 0c | 153,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d0…e6a9backed Yes | 9c | 150,155$13,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,566.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +1,174.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Yes | 2c | 149,618$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa401…1732backed Yes | 4c | 148,948$6,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,057.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x638a…49f4backed Yes | 1c | 147,713$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…ded8backed Yes | 1c | 145,797$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…df12backed Yes | 1c | 142,974$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2876…c4b2backed Yes | 5c | 139,684$7,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,484.37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc84b…b0e6backed Yes | 1c | 137,868$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…ec2ebacked Yes | 1c | 132,098$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +333.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…f5c3backed Yes | 1c | 131,901$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb6…3694backed Yes | 8c | 129,843$9,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,993.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2d…8cd1backed Yes | 2c | 128,907$3,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +201.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…942fbacked Yes | 1c | 128,862$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1133…3befbacked Yes | 1c | 127,604$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…7519backed Yes | 4c | 123,886$4,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9414…4f51backed Yes | 5c | 123,796$6,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,304.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea2…7ef6backed Yes | 7c | 122,746$8,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,531.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…2921backed Yes | 1c | 120,811$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…98eabacked Yes | 5c | 115,068$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,487.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +566.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2051…70dcbacked Yes | 4c | 114,232$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked Yes | 5c | 113,599$5,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,841.51 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked Yes | 1c | 113,000$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.02 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…0987backed Yes | 1c | 112,374$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…337fbacked Yes | 1c | 112,019$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 10cpaid | +625.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 3c | 111,671$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,755.7 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…ce87backed Yes | 6c | 111,637$6,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,797.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae9…420abacked Yes | 2c | 111,309$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3baabacked Yes | 1c | 110,295$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…01c0backed Yes | 4c | 109,469$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.34 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…bc1abacked Yes | 5c | 107,536$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…5d7ebacked Yes | 4c | 105,386$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…e502backed Yes | 1c | 105,285$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked Yes | 6c | 102,946$6,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,066.78 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?this page
- Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Hwang Kyo-ahn be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Boo-kyum be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kim Kyoung-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Kwon Yeong-guk be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes won
- Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Lee Nak-yon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Oh Se-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Won Hee-ryong be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Yoo Seong-min be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
- Will Yoon Suk Yeol be elected the next president of South Korea?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.