TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rays vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof Rays, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$563,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$562,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked White Sox47c379,845$177,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,401.7338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Rays53c98,156$52,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,022.9335952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Rays53c86,400$45,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,791.9845248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Rays53c74,000$39,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,22044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rays53c31,500$16,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,69548254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rays44c28,544$12,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,621.91,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rays55c17,309$9,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,519.681,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rays54c15,000$8,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,15056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked White Sox45c11,780$5,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,496.7315553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked White Sox46c11,328$5,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,156.879135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Rays54c10,950$5,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9139666.7%64 W · 32 L+16.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1295…640dbacked Rays32c9,840$3,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,148.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Rays56c8,500$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7602937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rays1c8,373$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8393240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x871f…7b97backed Rays54c5,552$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Rays53c5,000$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.125453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed White Sox68c4,877$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.586,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox71c4,841$3,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.491,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed White Sox46c4,573$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.3911150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Rays54c4,569$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.417450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5c…43b0backed Rays54c4,445$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays55c4,308$2,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,388.412,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe638…cd59backed White Sox46c3,477$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,877.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.131,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rays52c3,279$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.0643949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cde…8ec2backed White Sox46c3,260$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d91…8d45backed White Sox46c3,260$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Rays54c2,550$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.995451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rays25c2,317$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.258,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Rays56c2,314$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.5924253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Rays57c2,215$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.5520747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed White Sox45c2,023$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.7634245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays4c2,018$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1895930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rays56c2,000$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11930151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ee…83dabacked Rays53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0b2…4d4bbacked Rays5c1,807$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.531353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rays24c1,656$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.749,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked White Sox43c1,495$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.126547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rays55c1,441$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.691,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rays55c1,324$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.21,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rays1c1,254$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rays54c1,200$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.1895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rays55c1,145$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.7573352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox63c1,130$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.422,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Rays53c1,111$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.621847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rays3c1,023$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Rays28c1,000$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.56949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Rays58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5808562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Rays31c949.87$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.467651.3%39 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c2…0f74backed Rays35c938.91$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.622751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Rays53c915$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.9520748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf53…3f0dbacked Rays4c830$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.91233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Rays51c827.91$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42413149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox43c799.53$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.2183248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rays55c772.15$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.4573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked White Sox46c768.57$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.031,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rays56c762.34$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.911,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox53c707.27$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.7976456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Rays53c699$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4751953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Rays28c677.18$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6112949.6%64 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rays22c636.51$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Rays53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31832651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Rays55c578$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.926650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f4…55c1backed Rays29c558.62$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1626417.2%11 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Rays30c554.13$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.294531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed White Sox72c553.95$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.454060%24 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rays8c553.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2227213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Rays27c547.82$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4815033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Rays4c512.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Rays53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2653836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Rays53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9919747.2%93 W · 104 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed White Sox69c487.84$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.166,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4619…9647backed Rays57c470.84$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.381662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x008a…3dd5backed White Sox44c470.68$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.58633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…bfc1backed Rays57c454.7$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.18714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-72%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked White Sox44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5526055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6162…f49bbacked White Sox44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.551353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked White Sox44c450$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25227733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rays25c434.53$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.11,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rays19c416.22$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6670841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Rays54c404$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1634051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2283,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Rays55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rays55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Rays57c334.6$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7214055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rays57c334.6$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7280955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8868…ec0dbacked White Sox46c310.87$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.877443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed White Sox46c308.7$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.757744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d1…f279backed White Sox66c292.27$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.771250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked White Sox69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8621748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x670f…3f29backed Rays54c264.63$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0911049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c8…9be5backed Rays54c259.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox46c257.9$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.271,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5da…d89ebacked White Sox79c251.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.854753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rays55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.51,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Rays20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rays56c250$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.535245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rays58c231.03$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13499951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked White Sox46c227.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.858940.4%36 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Rays13c220$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.65232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.