MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b661015fc4a4c0ae53f600837a9d8122a36e92d1ed638ee0bb42c5e8854cea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $794,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $815,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 35c | 597,614$210,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210,811.72 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees | 65c | 136,172$88,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,660.09 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yankees | 64c | 97,800$62,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,208 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 65c | 90,000$58,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,500 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees | 65c | 70,000$45,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,700 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yankees | 73c | 66,651$48,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,016.65 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 66c | 45,382$29,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,641.92 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Orioles | 35c | 28,602$10,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,010.69 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Yankees | 65c | 28,571$18,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.83 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Orioles | 32c | 12,776$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.72 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 65c | 10,777$7,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.95 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 65c | 10,008$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.8 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yankees | 65c | 9,885$6,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.82 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 17c | 9,778$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.91 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 64c | 8,900$5,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yankees | 65c | 7,327$4,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 20c | 7,059$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Orioles | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.94 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 65c | 5,900$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yankees | 64c | 5,555$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Yankees | 66c | 5,099$3,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.59 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yankees | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Orioles | 9c | 4,824$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.12 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…c8c1backed Yankees | 76c | 3,483$2,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Orioles | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 34c | 2,638$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.95 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 1c | 2,410$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Yankees | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Orioles | 34c | 1,606$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.02 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yankees | 65c | 1,532$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.05 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yankees | 65c | 1,467$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.49 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Orioles | 35c | 1,428$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.77 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Orioles | 1c | 1,316$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Orioles | 35c | 1,150$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Yankees | 65c | 1,120$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Orioles | 3c | 1,100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Orioles | 32c | 1,073$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.25 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yankees | 65c | 1,057$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.95 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Yankees | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…4bacbacked Yankees | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 36c | 850$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yankees | 64c | 838.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.02 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yankees | 65c | 769$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Yankees | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Orioles | 4c | 749.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yankees | 64c | 699.97$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Orioles | 35c | 656.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f75…1143backed Yankees | 64c | 650$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…2e27backed Orioles | 36c | 650$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yankees | 66c | 636.36$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.36 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yankees | 79c | 634.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yankees | 80c | 629.74$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Orioles | 35c | 618.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Yankees | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 17c | 599.52$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 35c | 571.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 35c | 519.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Orioles | 20c | 495$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yankees | 66c | 466$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.44 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yankees | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Orioles | 35c | 450$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 16c | 432.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Orioles | 35c | 375$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Yankees | 65c | 367$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Orioles | 35c | 352.69$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…462bbacked Yankees | 66c | 337.88$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yankees | 66c | 333.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 20c | 330.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yankees | 66c | 329.67$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yankees | 65c | 320$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…f0f6backed Yankees | 66c | 317.79$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…3808backed Yankees | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 65c | 305.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 66c | 304.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.56 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Yankees | 66c | 303.26$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…f032backed Yankees | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Yankees | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yankees | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Orioles | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yankees | 65c | 299.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…bd13backed Yankees | 66c | 295.45$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Orioles | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 35c | 278.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Orioles | 35c | 269.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…aaadbacked Orioles | 18c | 266.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 18c | 259.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…c621backed Yankees | 66c | 251.52$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yankees | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Orioles | 14c | 246$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Orioles | 31c | 243.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 66c | 230$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…822cbacked Yankees | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yankees | 65c | 223.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.25 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Oriolesthis page
- NRFI: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.