MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3aab149352fa0225339874ca1d3a1531a59e5933d4f56eacf7b68cf3d5b09f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Dodgers, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dodgers | 49c | 47,602$23,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,115.63 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Dodgers | 59c | 26,039$15,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,380.49 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 61c | 23,035$14,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,923.14 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 40c | 17,835$7,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,724.04 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Pirates | 57c | 14,624$8,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,279.05 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Pirates | 39c | 14,400$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,784.29 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Dodgers | 50c | 12,407$6,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,235.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pirates | 39c | 11,828$4,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,214.8 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Pirates | 39c | 9,092$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.89 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Dodgers | 61c | 6,557$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Pirates | 38c | 5,021$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Dodgers | 63c | 4,602$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.96 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 63c | 4,078$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.14 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 40c | 3,871$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.52 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Pirates | 40c | 3,671$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.52 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pirates | 51c | 3,199$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.61 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 40c | 3,112$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.88 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Dodgers | 26c | 2,691$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.92 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dodgers | 9c | 2,325$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.24 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 51c | 2,312$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 40c | 2,078$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.69 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Pirates | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Dodgers | 60c | 1,985$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.18 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 61c | 1,900$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.41 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 37c | 1,850$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.49 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 50c | 1,808$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,714$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.97 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pirates | 38c | 1,700$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers | 60c | 1,567$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.2 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Pirates | 37c | 1,558$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…528abacked Dodgers | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Pirates | 45c | 1,495$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.11 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Dodgers | 61c | 1,475$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 27c | 1,421$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.67 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ba…f893backed Pirates | 37c | 1,417$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Dodgers | 19c | 1,300$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f82cbacked Dodgers | 35c | 1,283$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Dodgers | 61c | 1,243$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.61 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Dodgers | 62c | 1,219$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.01 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Dodgers | 60c | 1,193$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 39c | 1,022$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.93 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 37c | 1,019$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.97 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dodgers | 50c | 1,015$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.75 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Dodgers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Dodgers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Pirates | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.49 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Pirates | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 55c | 993.7$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.33 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 39c | 769$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.09 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Dodgers | 2c | 746.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Dodgers | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Pirates | 42c | 655.78$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Pirates | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 37c | 574.29$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.8 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dodgers | 58c | 566.07$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers | 61c | 549.98$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.49 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Dodgers | 62c | 544.38$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.52 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 520.43$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.26 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Pirates | 41c | 493.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.76 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Pirates | 38c | 455.18$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.21 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Dodgers | 45c | 444.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 62c | 418.09$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.61 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 58c | 412.91$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…4768backed Pirates | 39c | 409.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Pirates | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Dodgers | 14c | 400$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd46…bcd2backed Dodgers | 52c | 365.42$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Dodgers | 62c | 358.94$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.54 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Dodgers | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Dodgers | 45c | 313.33$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked Dodgers | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Dodgers | 26c | 305$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 283.4$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Dodgers | 35c | 278.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Pirates | 40c | 272.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.58 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Pirates | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 38c | 265$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Dodgers | 29c | 264.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Pirates | 39c | 257$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.77 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 62c | 254.84$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…41b3backed Dodgers | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Dodgers | 29c | 233.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Dodgers | 61c | 233$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pirates | 40c | 223.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Pirates | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Dodgers | 43c | 207.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Dodgers | 59c | 205$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Pirates | 39c | 205$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…d3dabacked Dodgers | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…4669backed Dodgers | 62c | 184.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Pirates | 40c | 179.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pirates | 53c | 175.92$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…b2ffbacked Dodgers | 61c | 167.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Dodgers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dodgers vs. Piratesthis page
- Dodgers vs. Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Dodgers (-1.5)Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.