MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb60bb6b6b0a4194c7581b6a24b7b35eee8c19a1ca8d2f941c13cb2d576bf64bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,159,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,353,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,159,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 43c | 1,179,216$504,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504,328.54 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Reds | 43c | 537,249$228,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228,717.05 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 57c | 349,062$199,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,245.06 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 57c | 326,200$186,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,796 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 182,671$104,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,738.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Blue Jays | 57c | 175,425$99,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,432.65 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays | 59c | 126,140$73,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,170.83 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Blue Jays | 57c | 83,300$47,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,819 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays | 57c | 78,043$44,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,519.99 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 58c | 57,000$32,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,140 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 58c | 52,820$30,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,184.4 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Blue Jays | 58c | 47,259$27,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,081.68 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,050 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,050 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 33,091$19,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,898.38 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 43c | 31,863$13,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,701.1 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blue Jays | 57c | 30,467$17,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,100.65 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 53c | 29,674$15,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,710.93 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Blue Jays | 58c | 26,311$15,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,175.65 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 49c | 24,130$11,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,397.66 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Blue Jays | 58c | 22,000$12,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,159.97 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jays | 57c | 20,254$11,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,708.72 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Blue Jays | 57c | 20,061$11,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,626.27 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Blue Jays | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Blue Jays | 58c | 13,164$7,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Blue Jays | 57c | 11,576$6,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Blue Jays | 59c | 8,470$4,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.7 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 41c | 6,968$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 49c | 6,875$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Reds | 40c | 5,026$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Blue Jays | 29c | 5,000$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.52 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 3c | 5,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Reds | 55c | 4,846$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.72 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 4,687$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.73 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 3,700$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Blue Jays | 60c | 3,502$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Reds | 48c | 3,490$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.78 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 3,338$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.96 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Reds | 68c | 3,300$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.95 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 75c | 2,567$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.42 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Blue Jays | 58c | 2,374$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.98 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Reds | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 40c | 1,850$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Reds | 30c | 1,834$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.25 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 1,760$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.65 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Reds | 42c | 1,690$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 66c | 1,663$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Blue Jays | 47c | 1,607$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.3 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,544$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.86 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 48c | 1,522$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.89 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Blue Jays | 56c | 1,518$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.01 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,435$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.18 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,358$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.36 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…c8f1backed Blue Jays | 34c | 1,254$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…7cdcbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 58c | 1,071$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.26 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e6…c6f9backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,055$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Reds | 40c | 1,019$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.6 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Blue Jays | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Blue Jays | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Blue Jays | 57c | 997.93$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.11 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Blue Jays | 57c | 975.23$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.35 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Reds | 53c | 905.43$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.68 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Blue Jays | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Reds | 41c | 896.49$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.6 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Blue Jays | 25c | 880$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Reds | 26c | 857.07$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Blue Jays | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Blue Jays | 60c | 751.65$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Blue Jays | 57c | 740$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.2 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 41c | 731$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.71 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Reds | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Reds | 40c | 699.95$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds | 2c | 683.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 25c | 663.56$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.1 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Blue Jays | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Reds | 43c | 596$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.05 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…4768backed Reds | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Blue Jays | 60c | 487.7$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked Blue Jays | 28c | 485.71$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.71 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Blue Jays | 58c | 475.86$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.86 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 473.07$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.69 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Reds | 3c | 450$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…4669backed Blue Jays | 60c | 448.75$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 42c | 350.02$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.26 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Blue Jays | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Blue Jays | 60c | 330.41$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 38c | 329.54$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…df62backed Reds | 41c | 326.88$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Reds | 42c | 310$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Blue Jays | 28c | 279.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Blue Jays | 58c | 269.55$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Reds | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Blue Jays | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Reds | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Redsthis page
- Blue Jays vs. Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Blue Jays (-1.5)Blue Jays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.