MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77ca3276f84a91ea367f54e43ae3f8dcc21f90db3e013bfea2790e00983cc6cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $645,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $674,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Brewers | 59c | 333,299$196,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,646.17 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Phillies | 31c | 150,000$46,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,000.6 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 59c | 46,666$27,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,532.92 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 41c | 38,928$15,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,967.34 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 41c | 36,803$15,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,713.77 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 41c | 36,500$14,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,535 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 41c | 34,915$14,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,599.63 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 41c | 30,041$12,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,735.26 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Phillies | 42c | 21,545$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,544.72 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Phillies | 50c | 19,581$9,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,790.56 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Phillies | 41c | 12,991$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,664.73 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Phillies | 43c | 10,897$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,231.94 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Phillies | 60c | 9,361$5,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725.85 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Phillies | 77c | 9,039$6,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.79 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 51c | 7,425$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Brewers | 60c | 6,666$3,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Phillies | 40c | 5,784$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,470.24 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 80c | 5,331$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Phillies | 41c | 5,060$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.4 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 56c | 4,753$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.49 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 41c | 4,702$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.41 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 41c | 4,673$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.07 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Phillies | 62c | 4,000$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Phillies | 41c | 3,410$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.03 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Phillies | 66c | 3,033$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.08 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Phillies | 41c | 2,934$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.04 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Phillies | 80c | 2,535$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.11 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.97 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 41c | 2,353$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Brewers | 10c | 2,342$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Phillies | 64c | 2,290$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.65 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Brewers | 57c | 1,741$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 45c | 1,697$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 53c | 1,573$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.07 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Phillies | 41c | 1,493$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.68 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Phillies | 41c | 1,411$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.49 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 41c | 1,280$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.2 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Phillies | 50c | 1,182$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 65c | 1,181$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.58 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 29c | 1,140$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.05 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 53c | 1,090$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Brewers | 20c | 1,006$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Phillies | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Phillies | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Phillies | 41c | 995.12$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.12 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Brewers | 50c | 960.73$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.87 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Phillies | 42c | 840.33$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.39 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 50c | 805.6$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.64 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Brewers | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Brewers | 57c | 792.32$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.9 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Brewers | 40c | 745.93$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 42c | 714$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.12 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Phillies | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 7c | 688.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Brewers | 11c | 676.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 47c | 649.79$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.79 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Phillies | 42c | 619$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.02 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 41c | 610$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.9 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Brewers | 50c | 609.9$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.95 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Brewers | 60c | 555.82$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.49 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 41c | 541.46$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.46 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Phillies | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…125fbacked Brewers | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Phillies | 67c | 489.59$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Phillies | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…0cecbacked Brewers | 29c | 463.89$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Phillies | 45c | 443.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Phillies | 40c | 429.86$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.86 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 50c | 408.88$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.09 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Brewers | 45c | 408.87$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.94 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Phillies | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers | 68c | 370.84$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.93 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Brewers | 58c | 351.46$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.18 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 66c | 350.7$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Phillies | 41c | 350$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Phillies | 12c | 334.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.36 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Phillies | 61c | 328.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brewers | 26c | 315$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Phillies | 16c | 296.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Brewers | 62c | 289.44$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Brewers | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…722bbacked Phillies | 39c | 277.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 37c | 269.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Brewers | 12c | 264$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Brewers | 56c | 254.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Phillies | 63c | 243$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709a…20b6backed Phillies | 50c | 235.24$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Brewers | 45c | 222.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Brewers | 57c | 214.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.09 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Phillies | 73c | 210.09$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Phillies | 48c | 208.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 42c | 202.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.38 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Brewers | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Brewers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…7d1cbacked Brewers | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Brewersthis page
- Phillies vs. Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Brewers (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.