MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b5ab5b842d45f0d4e128ce29c6d3b62676dba2a421be031626d35db02d9d5ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Phillies, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Brewers | 50c | 50,710$25,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,460 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 50c | 46,152$23,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,060.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 51c | 19,991$10,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,764.62 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Phillies | 48c | 6,956$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.86 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Phillies | 51c | 6,495$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.45 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Phillies | 49c | 3,468$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.36 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 51c | 3,144$1,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,603.33 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea98…ce4dbacked Phillies | 51c | 2,509$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Phillies | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Phillies | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Phillies | 10c | 1,985$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.51 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Phillies | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Phillies | 48c | 1,688$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Brewers | 52c | 1,542$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.86 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Brewers | 51c | 1,222$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.67 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…a38cbacked Phillies | 49c | 1,171$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…98afbacked Brewers | 51c | 1,153$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.97 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61c4…f5f2backed Brewers | 51c | 1,147$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…516bbacked Phillies | 49c | 1,129$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Phillies | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Brewers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Brewers | 51c | 970$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 49c | 861.74$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.02 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…9012backed Brewers | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Phillies | 26c | 765$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Brewers | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Phillies | 50c | 669.73$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.87 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Phillies | 46c | 641.31$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 50c | 617.93$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Brewers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Phillies | 6c | 566.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 50c | 540$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Brewers | 51c | 476.37$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.42 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Brewers | 52c | 463.07$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.28 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 78c | 447.54$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 50c | 423.84$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.92 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Brewers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Phillies | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Phillies | 4c | 394.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Phillies | 49c | 321.11$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.34 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Brewers | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Brewers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Brewers | 51c | 275$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…e61cbacked Brewers | 56c | 269.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.55 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Phillies | 22c | 255.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Phillies | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Brewers | 53c | 226.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Brewers | 51c | 205.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Phillies | 49c | 203.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Brewers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Brewers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Brewers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…e1cbbacked Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Brewers | 53c | 182.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Phillies | 10c | 172.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 10c | 167.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Brewers | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Brewers | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Brewers | 51c | 149.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 50c | 119.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Phillies | 50c | 117.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Brewers | 51c | 109.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47c…0719backed Brewers | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Brewers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Brewers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…c816backed Brewers | 51c | 82.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Brewers | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…0e31backed Phillies | 50c | 72.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82d…ff14backed Brewers | 51c | 67.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Brewers | 70c | 64.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…c464backed Brewers | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Brewers | 49c | 62.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…e776backed Phillies | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Brewers | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Brewers | 51c | 51.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b4…cec5backed Brewers | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Phillies | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…3703backed Brewers | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Brewers | 52c | 46.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Phillies | 50c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Brewers | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…e3e8backed Brewers | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Phillies vs. Brewersthis page
- Phillies vs. Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.