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MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof White Sox, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$467,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$480,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,144 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked White Sox38c347,953$133,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214,298.2738043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins62c131,472$81,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,255.381,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Twins61c90,500$55,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,20522852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Twins62c75,040$46,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,524.845248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox38c25,479$9,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,809.7838047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Twins62c21,000$13,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0207659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Twins62c19,187$11,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,895.9435952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Twins61c18,777$11,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,503.9730255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Twins37c11,628$4,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,266.029,86246.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L+40.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Twins46c9,111$4,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,153.8578445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins61c7,500$4,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5751,15749.2%569 W · 588 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed White Sox38c6,959$2,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,285.6933845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twins62c5,081$3,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.6343949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins62c4,579$2,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,838.712,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c4…6f2fbacked Twins59c4,303$2,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.311533.3%5 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Twins62c3,440$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.31,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Twins61c2,750$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.525453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins63c2,540$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.0743247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Twins61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.9956451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…55acbacked Twins41c2,462$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Twins62c1,975$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49a…ff17backed White Sox73c1,653$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.19757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe973…7338backed White Sox38c1,622$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.631566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+47.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins71c1,559$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.692,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f8…3a79backed White Sox67c1,495$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.211735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed White Sox37c1,405$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.1557744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed White Sox66c1,336$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Twins61c1,271$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.656,12855.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L+347.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebed…97bebacked Twins61c1,270$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.52450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709a…20b6backed White Sox63c1,225$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox38c1,151$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.1860249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x869b…776cbacked Twins38c958.21$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed White Sox39c904.97$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.0370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Twins43c899.71$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.411,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox37c810$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.31,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Twins62c725.81$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked White Sox74c698.3$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked White Sox38c549.99$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.9927733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x394b…0cecbacked White Sox66c514.3$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.861643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed Twins61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Twins61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30532651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Twins62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24817243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox36c399.97$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.983,31446.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked White Sox60c381.08$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.585763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Twins61c355.14$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.631,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Twins63c350$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.51,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked White Sox38c349.96$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4835245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked White Sox19c336.27$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3621246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Twins19c316.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.425632.1%18 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc47…15d4backed Twins62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebb…593dbacked White Sox38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked White Sox36c299.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.9930151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Twins41c294.6$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03d2…7fb7backed White Sox77c260.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.521241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked White Sox46c248.38$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.0810527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4201…f6edbacked Twins64c235.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…d68cbacked Twins56c230.24$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.886657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Twins41c215.83$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3610459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed White Sox39c205.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.136149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Twins39c201.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5956440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed White Sox39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1224027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Twins62c197.72$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7873149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox54c192.52$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1870841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins39c185.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.764,19750.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dde…8a88backed Twins57c181.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2510451.9%54 W · 50 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed White Sox27c174.29$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.091,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Twins43c162.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked White Sox41c161$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2915033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Twins28c160.47$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.831547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed Twins64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003959%23 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed White Sox40c145$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8799951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Twins56c137.75$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.746,30948.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1440144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Twins37c130.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.418042.5%34 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Twins52c127.17$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5925364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Twins61c126.36$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6640629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked White Sox73c125$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7516053.1%85 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Twins36c117.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6112,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd3…1174backed Twins28c115.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.319052.6%100 W · 90 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked White Sox39c114.72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.981,09146.3%505 W · 586 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Twins47c114$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7220747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc655…8467backed Twins62c111$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8224351.4%125 W · 118 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked White Sox51c107.94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8913555.6%75 W · 60 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked White Sox67c107.87$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.65955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Twins63c105.29$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3322142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked White Sox79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.277857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Twins33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3345732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Twins62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6213052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ea…0fc1backed White Sox67c89.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.012661.5%16 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…8f16backed White Sox45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick35cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Twins65c87.2$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.685666.1%37 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Twins62c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.625548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Twins30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.647745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x409b…d3dabacked Twins62c79.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Twins64c78.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.244443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x900b…34bcbacked White Sox39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.928750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Twins53c76.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3660052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Twins34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.