MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4721067075c4397995aa1a1ccdb953834c17a2b76001bbfd87d951732c8ed60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Royals, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,065,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,058,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,065,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 600 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Guardians | 52c | 530,697$275,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255,136.54 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Royals | 51c | 203,617$103,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,844.7 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Guardians | 49c | 133,179$65,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,921.49 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Royals | 48c | 65,000$31,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,200 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…1240backed Royals | 8c | 60,816$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 28c | 46,647$13,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,245.11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Guardians | 51c | 43,073$21,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,105.93 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Royals | 48c | 36,672$17,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,602.56 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Royals | 48c | 33,333$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.84 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Royals | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Royals | 49c | 19,846$9,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,724.4 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals | 49c | 19,123$9,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,375.19 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Royals | 30c | 18,551$5,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,475.92 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Royals | 49c | 16,133$7,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,905.05 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Guardians | 57c | 15,921$9,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,898.98 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Guardians | 65c | 15,524$10,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,396.07 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 78c | 14,218$11,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.83 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Royals | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.28 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Guardians | 51c | 8,333$4,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.42 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Royals | 48c | 7,300$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 25c | 7,098$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.57 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Guardians | 52c | 6,821$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.08 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Royals | 48c | 6,724$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.67 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Royals | 49c | 6,240$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.67 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 46c | 4,005$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.63 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Royals | 8c | 3,300$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.4 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals | 49c | 3,246$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.6 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Guardians | 50c | 3,074$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +253%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 50c | 2,729$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.37 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Royals | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians | 51c | 2,409$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.26 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 49c | 2,368$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.31 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Royals | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…6d7bbacked Royals | 25c | 2,001$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Guardians | 52c | 1,979$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.92 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 1c | 1,668$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 49c | 1,592$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.92 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Royals | 40c | 1,450$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Guardians | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…0065backed Royals | 48c | 1,187$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Royals | 27c | 1,172$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.44 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…8945backed Guardians | 52c | 1,156$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…4aa8backed Guardians | 52c | 1,144$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…72c7backed Royals | 48c | 1,113$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 50c | 1,029$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.36 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Royals | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.92 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…cd82backed Guardians | 50c | 1,002$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Royals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Royals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Royals | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 50c | 982.59$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.55 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Royals | 49c | 981.63$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…b886backed Royals | 50c | 793.67$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Guardians | 52c | 771.23$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.19 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…4768backed Royals | 49c | 771.12$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Royals | 50c | 688.52$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…655abacked Royals | 50c | 688$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 70c | 670.21$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.58 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Royals | 2c | 654.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Royals | 48c | 624$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.52 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Royals | 51c | 549.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 70c | 531.24$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.19 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Royals | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Royals | 48c | 499.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb00…528abacked Guardians | 50c | 479.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Guardians | 80c | 454.22$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…7293backed Royals | 50c | 408.61$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.31 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Royals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Royals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Guardians | 63c | 378.56$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.22 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Royals | 4c | 325.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Royals | 49c | 315.8$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Royals | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Guardians | 49c | 285$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Royals | 15c | 281.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Guardians | 52c | 266$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Royals | 31c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 51c | 247$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.03 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…5fc9backed Royals | 49c | 228.57$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Guardians | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…5ffabacked Royals | 16c | 209.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Royals | 47c | 205$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…730ebacked Royals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Royals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Royals | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…4a3cbacked Royals | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Royals | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Guardians | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Royals vs. Guardiansthis page
- NRFI: Royals vs. GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.