MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x755fc83d569e44caaf912477ad545481f2cefecd80ac4f1861fc2d5290c2b950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $571,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Tigers | 61c | 165,561$100,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,568.78 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 39c | 112,666$43,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,939.67 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Royals | 39c | 52,534$20,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,488.32 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Tigers | 57c | 43,800$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800.4 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 42c | 15,463$6,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,494.35 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Royals | 43c | 9,846$4,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.86 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Royals | 43c | 9,331$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018.36 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tigers | 63c | 8,635$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.53 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Royals | 40c | 5,070$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Royals | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.97 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 38c | 3,742$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers | 60c | 2,468$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.78 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 42c | 1,770$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.79 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Royals | 39c | 1,555$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.45 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 40c | 1,257$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.85 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Royals | 42c | 1,145$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.67 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Tigers | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Royals | 44c | 915.9$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Royals | 9c | 779.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Royals | 39c | 768.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.91 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 38c | 615.44$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.87 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Royals | 50c | 549$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.63 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Tigers | 59c | 510.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Tigers | 59c | 510.05$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.12 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Tigers | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Royals | 27c | 415.74$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 40c | 415.63$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Royals | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 38c | 356.34$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.91 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…2d38backed Tigers | 62c | 321.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Tigers | 62c | 296.64$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…6712backed Royals | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 61c | 242.3$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4201…f6edbacked Tigers | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 53c | 226.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 39c | 206$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Tigers | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tigers | 74c | 190.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 44c | 181.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 41c | 181.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Tigers | 61c | 167$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Tigers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Royals | 40c | 150.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Tigers | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Royals | 34c | 130.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Royals | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Tigers | 58c | 110.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Tigers | 61c | 97.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Royals | 47c | 89.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Royals | 37c | 80.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Tigers | 61c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Tigers | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Royals | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Royals | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Tigers | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tigers | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Tigers | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…4be7backed Tigers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Tigers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Tigers | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tigers | 79c | 31.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Royals | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Royals | 48c | 29.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Tigers | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Royals | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Tigers | 60c | 23.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Tigers | 61c | 21.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…26ebbacked Tigers | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers | 61c | 19.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Tigers | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigers vs. Royalsthis page
- Spread: Tigers (-1.5)Yes won
- Tigers vs. Royals: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.