TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof White Sox, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed White Sox40c29,240$11,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,546.1760451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins60c27,334$16,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,400.731,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed White Sox38c15,000$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,299.9434245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Twins62c8,312$5,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,136.1263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins62c4,075$2,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,526.332,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox67c3,648$2,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.991,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed White Sox21c2,858$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.526747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Twins73c2,812$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.866845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Twins62c2,739$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.188749.4%43 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Twins48c2,440$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.4996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Twins40c2,371$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.049,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Twins32c2,205$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.317243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Twins60c2,152$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.235952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Twins60c2,092$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.951,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Twins61c1,907$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.0395950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Twins61c1,540$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.4338751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked White Sox39c1,298$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.675763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed White Sox39c1,230$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.357744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed White Sox39c1,200$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7321,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Twins61c1,189$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.8373149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed White Sox60c1,092$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.751163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Twins61c998.36$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6099842.9%42 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox33c909.75$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.212,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed White Sox79c839.16$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.2235854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox39c769$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.091,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked White Sox27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.746443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Twins65c734.87$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.161,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Twins15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Twins61c645$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.4543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed White Sox38c633.98$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.072050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Twins78c631.15$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.0121747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4680…b33dbacked White Sox48c564.99$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.923438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3053,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3545…741dbacked White Sox33c460.01$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.82030%6 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked White Sox57c390$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.721246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed White Sox38c350$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2171,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0e…9012backed Twins62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Twins62c264.52$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16438057.4%218 W · 162 L+1.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked White Sox38c263$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0631347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1888…e1cbbacked White Sox39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.413043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked White Sox39c253.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9115033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Twins62c252.54$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox39c209.2$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.611,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox46c209.19$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6576456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed White Sox39c205$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0524346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3e…e822backed White Sox40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked White Sox26c180.83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2733137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b6…97b7backed White Sox39c172.54$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.254856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins61c168.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6973352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed Twins62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009346.2%43 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Twins62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2efa…6a09backed White Sox40c157.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.52867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed White Sox39c150.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Twins61c149.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4935245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Twins43c142.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.156,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked White Sox40c139.53$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.721,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Twins69c139.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.081,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2140144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked White Sox38c126.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa431…c13dbacked White Sox40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox28c119.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7170841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x394b…0cecbacked White Sox33c105.73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.461643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked White Sox28c102.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.942,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed White Sox31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6945732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Twins61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d74…2759backed White Sox39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6123545.1%106 W · 129 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked White Sox40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox39c99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.392,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Twins61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,39655.2%770 W · 626 L-28.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Twins69c92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.647745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…7c1dbacked White Sox39c89.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.743158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Twins61c86.85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9840152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf72…a19fbacked Twins62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox47c79.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.654,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602e…b258backed White Sox53c78.96$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.117100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7d3…127cbacked White Sox40c77.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.52661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Twins71c72.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.767247.2%34 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Twins61c62.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9866250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4b…94d4backed White Sox40c58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.825155.4%139 W · 112 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5434…1e01backed White Sox40c55.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.681656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a66…5b12backed White Sox39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2814450.7%73 W · 71 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked White Sox39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.569547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdad3…7044backed White Sox40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Twins61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.529145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c68…b1cfbacked Twins62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307051.4%36 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Twins70c48.3$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.846,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked White Sox38c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.934257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82f0…b2bebacked White Sox40c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Twins61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518148.6%88 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6fa…7bd1backed Twins62c38.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…a8f9backed White Sox39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b84…9d3bbacked Twins73c34.55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2818350.3%92 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f43…0508backed White Sox39c33.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.332245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x900b…34bcbacked White Sox39c33.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.338750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed White Sox33c33.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3139739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed White Sox38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.654352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.