MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfebfac7b354fc23563890991f5b03cdfcb6554771dda7554785902f85141165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Braves, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 56c | 20,154$11,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,859.41 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Braves | 39c | 7,953$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.14 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 58c | 7,234$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.38 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Braves | 46c | 5,630$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.87 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Braves | 47c | 5,111$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.17 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Cubs | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Cubs | 37c | 3,890$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.96 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Braves | 44c | 3,534$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.93 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 53c | 3,378$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.71 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cubs | 65c | 3,028$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.71 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Braves | 58c | 1,950$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.2 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Cubs | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Braves | 49c | 1,610$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.38 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 47c | 1,589$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.83 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 59c | 1,520$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Cubs | 57c | 1,429$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.87 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 53c | 1,315$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Cubs | 54c | 1,115$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.9 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Cubs | 53c | 1,057$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.6 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Braves | 38c | 1,032$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.01 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Braves | 47c | 993.62$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…bae4backed Braves | 65c | 941.88$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Braves | 47c | 930$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.1 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Braves | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Cubs | 53c | 780$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Braves | 47c | 750$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 48c | 735.29$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 53c | 689.09$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…5ae8backed Braves | 49c | 681.73$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Cubs | 66c | 603.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Cubs | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 47c | 596.06$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.54 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Braves | 46c | 576.35$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.12 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 53c | 566$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs | 53c | 562.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.9 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Braves | 68c | 544.69$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.86 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Cubs | 58c | 500$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cubs | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Braves | 46c | 488.25$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.27 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cubs | 36c | 462.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Cubs | 54c | 450$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 52c | 427.66$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.18 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Cubs | 53c | 401.94$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Cubs | 65c | 401.16$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.16 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Braves | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Cubs | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Braves | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Braves | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…d3dabacked Cubs | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Braves | 47c | 397.17$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.67 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cubs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 16c | 347.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.3 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cubs | 57c | 342.73$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.03 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 37c | 335.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Braves | 47c | 335.71$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…7fb7backed Braves | 68c | 326.47$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…0cecbacked Braves | 68c | 321.3$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 46c | 318.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.22 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Braves | 43c | 310.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.33 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Cubs | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 23c | 273.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Braves | 31c | 264.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…6f17backed Cubs | 66c | 262.1$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 51c | 261.81$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 52c | 259.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Cubs | 24c | 248.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.55 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Braves | 42c | 240.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Braves | 30c | 239.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Braves | 18c | 233.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…d5ddbacked Braves | 47c | 217.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Braves | 47c | 214.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Braves | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 42c | 210.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ab…0a40backed Braves | 47c | 202.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cubs | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 54c | 185.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.61 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 47c | 180.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…6fc4backed Braves | 47c | 180.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…30f2backed Braves | 47c | 172.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Braves | 58c | 170.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…a0a3backed Cubs | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Braves | 73c | 150$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cubs | 38c | 147.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Braves | 80c | 141.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Braves | 58c | 134.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Cubs | 53c | 128.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc7…6187backed Cubs | 53c | 126.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f5…bc52backed Cubs | 53c | 126.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd904…0a2dbacked Cubs | 53c | 124.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Braves | 11c | 124$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…10f8backed Cubs | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Braves | 65c | 122.41$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb173…9342backed Cubs | 53c | 120.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709a…20b6backed Cubs | 20c | 118.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Cubs | 43c | 118.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Cubs | 53c | 111$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Braves | 48c | 108.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braves vs. Cubsthis page
- Braves vs. Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Cubs (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.