TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Brewers, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,050,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,064,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,050,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Brewers53c559,994$296,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296,796.7238043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers47c496,175$233,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263,1261,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Rangers47c57,500$27,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,40035854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rangers48c29,042$13,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,101.8423752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers47c26,602$12,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,569.011,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Brewers53c23,568$12,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,411.9514648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Rangers58c23,040$13,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,689.915353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Rangers47c22,867$10,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,119.5335952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Brewers53c21,618$11,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,457.5738751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d1…8ce8backed Brewers53c21,300$11,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,2891729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers47c20,054$9,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,347.331,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Rangers47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,60055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers52c19,078$9,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,916.2243949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rangers57c17,980$10,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,654.2278445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Brewers54c16,800$9,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,07233845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Rangers48c16,732$8,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,700.833554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Brewers53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.999440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers46c9,401$4,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,073.742,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13ec…a343backed Brewers53c8,837$4,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,683.61714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Brewers50c7,765$3,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,915.7921847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers47c7,576$3,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,014.1763152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers48c7,487$3,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,893.431,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Brewers53c6,241$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,307.97455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Brewers13c5,985$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.6912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Brewers10c5,868$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56057744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Brewers52c5,657$2,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,941.457450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers48c5,578$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.962,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Brewers53c5,369$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.049560%57 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Brewers53c3,200$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69669249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Brewers52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56039041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Rangers48c2,417$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.6711554.8%63 W · 52 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers45c1,956$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.841,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Brewers56c1,798$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.3615749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers47c1,700$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9011,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers35c1,254$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.621,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Brewers53c1,240$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.230151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rangers53c1,120$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.666,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc20c…81cfbacked Rangers46c1,113$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948a…5d1dbacked Brewers54c1,106$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.24862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa654…ec03backed Brewers54c1,094$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Brewers54c1,093$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5906747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Rangers47c1,089$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.1712857%73 W · 55 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f23…babebacked Rangers46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Rangers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e86…93c2backed Rangers47c999.99$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5352948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Brewers1c999.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.825416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbc5…53c3backed Brewers51c996.24$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.72161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9598…1fd2backed Rangers46c962.97$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers47c948.77$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.851,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers60c841.41$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.5570841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers47c799.99$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Brewers54c777.61$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.521753.9%117 W · 100 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers10c667.2$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.721,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers47c601$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.531,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31842452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Brewers54c561.06$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.9731254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Rangers44c547.03$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0910548.6%51 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Rangers47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9120455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fec…fc7bbacked Brewers2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101022.9%3 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26022142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rangers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers46c499.96$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.481,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Brewers55c497.18$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.189551.6%49 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers46c495.07$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3451347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Rangers48c469.06$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.911,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f6…c600backed Brewers55c455.59$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rangers46c435.5$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers33c427.57$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14061346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rangers46c425.7$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.971,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Rangers47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5326055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Brewers53c388.68$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20623248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed Brewers53c378$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.349240.2%37 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Brewers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012558.4%73 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Brewers53c376.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6214047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Brewers53c329.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17618446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Brewers46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13831145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f06…5fc9backed Brewers55c263.64$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451850%9 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.51,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Brewers54c229.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12528447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Rangers48c222.23$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3515033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rangers48c209.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Rangers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3314146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Brewers53c205.57$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9516340.5%66 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10666751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fd0…7efcbacked Brewers54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e40…4efabacked Rangers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea3…e142backed Rangers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8381…ebcfbacked Brewers54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc805…e5dbbacked Rangers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcff…0e58backed Rangers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085048%24 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…78e3backed Brewers54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085446.3%25 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac5…3536backed Brewers54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085060%30 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee0f…f1dcbacked Rangers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d3…6f65backed Brewers54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1243…18cfbacked Rangers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.