WNBA · resolved market
Mercury vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeae82eb619e560f32a340da30ab7543f8818079e6d793c6e6a17e5e3b2a10edd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercuryof Mercury, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mercury | 43c | 7,274$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,127.4 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Mercury | 54c | 6,359$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.18 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valkyries | 60c | 5,556$3,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355.53 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 31c | 5,054$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.6 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Valkyries | 31c | 4,079$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Mercury | 59c | 3,469$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.05 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Mercury | 41c | 2,870$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.45 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mercury | 68c | 2,742$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.57 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…aa7abacked Valkyries | 72c | 1,832$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 25c | 1,618$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.21 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mercury | 69c | 1,606$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.16 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Valkyries | 62c | 1,600$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mercury | 68c | 1,482$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.36 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mercury | 71c | 1,263$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.66 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Valkyries | 23c | 1,183$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.46 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Valkyries | 62c | 1,093$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Mercury | 71c | 1,050$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Valkyries | 42c | 1,032$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mercury | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Valkyries | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Mercury | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Mercury | 70c | 1,000$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Valkyries | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Valkyries | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valkyries | 55c | 987$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.1 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…cd47backed Valkyries | 37c | 967.93$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Valkyries | 30c | 900$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Valkyries | 29c | 695.54$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.71 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mercury | 70c | 667.07$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.12 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Valkyries | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Valkyries | 31c | 495$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.64 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 56c | 463$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.09 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Valkyries | 30c | 352.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 30c | 338.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Mercury | 42c | 319.93$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.62 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Valkyries | 42c | 311.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Mercury | 70c | 293.53$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Valkyries | 48c | 267.65$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.29 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 37c | 259.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.94 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Mercury | 31c | 251.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Mercury | 41c | 246.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Mercury | 72c | 214.19$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Valkyries | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Valkyries | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Valkyries | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valkyries | 29c | 199.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mercury | 70c | 192.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…bee1backed Valkyries | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Valkyries | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Mercury | 62c | 172.23$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Valkyries | 51c | 172$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.28 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Valkyries | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Valkyries | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 29c | 142.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Mercury | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Valkyries | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Valkyries | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Mercury | 72c | 107$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Mercury | 49c | 106.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Valkyries | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Valkyries | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Valkyries | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Valkyries | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Valkyries | 31c | 97.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Valkyries | 68c | 89.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercury | 53c | 82.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Mercury | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…8879backed Valkyries | 29c | 72.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Valkyries | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Valkyries | 68c | 63.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mercury | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…ba35backed Valkyries | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Mercury | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Valkyries | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Mercury | 46c | 44.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mercury | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Mercury | 73c | 41.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Valkyries | 31c | 39.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Mercury | 72c | 32.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Valkyries | 47c | 30.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…e944backed Mercury | 77c | 26.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…b172backed Mercury | 71c | 23.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Valkyries | 49c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…8c54backed Valkyries | 68c | 20.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Valkyries | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.