MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd32928e950987063d285905fe6c3e305d6b8b90a4956ad1fc142067cc2894775
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Marlins, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 50c | 21,513$10,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,756.29 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 56c | 10,724$6,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.86 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Marlins | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Nationals | 52c | 7,070$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.38 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 50c | 5,394$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Marlins | 45c | 5,023$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.15 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Marlins | 46c | 4,287$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…6f2fbacked Marlins | 53c | 3,808$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Marlins | 42c | 3,355$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.44 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Marlins | 49c | 3,147$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.51 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Marlins | 48c | 3,046$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.9 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Nationals | 69c | 2,860$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.29 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…aee1backed Nationals | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Marlins | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 50c | 2,514$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.78 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3595…834dbacked Nationals | 53c | 2,254$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…8b2fbacked Marlins | 51c | 1,849$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Marlins | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a3…10c6backed Nationals | 54c | 1,731$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…e328backed Marlins | 51c | 1,657$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.7 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…ed49backed Marlins | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…23f5backed Marlins | 46c | 1,391$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da7…9368backed Marlins | 47c | 1,340$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b37…263bbacked Marlins | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…e67abacked Marlins | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…b3f9backed Nationals | 53c | 1,062$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…a38cbacked Nationals | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…d0b5backed Marlins | 47c | 1,036$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 48c | 999.98$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…3279backed Nationals | 49c | 980$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Nationals | 51c | 975.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.62 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Nationals | 51c | 934.68$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f35…0d0cbacked Marlins | 47c | 914$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Marlins | 48c | 835$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.1 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 52c | 786.05$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.3 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nationals | 52c | 772$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.56 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 49c | 713.32$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.94 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Marlins | 33c | 683.03$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.01 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…a897backed Nationals | 49c | 677$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 58c | 655.11$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.89 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 42c | 556.03$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.88 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Marlins | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Nationals | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.99 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Nationals | 50c | 498$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Nationals | 51c | 471.98$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.27 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Nationals | 80c | 459.96$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marlins | 40c | 458.94$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Nationals | 51c | 436.1$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.69 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Marlins | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Marlins | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 46c | 399.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 20c | 380$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Marlins | 23c | 380$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 51c | 365$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…8506backed Marlins | 46c | 340$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…fe12backed Marlins | 15c | 333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 21c | 332.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdede…149ebacked Marlins | 49c | 318.9$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Marlins | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Marlins | 50c | 275$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Marlins | 44c | 271.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Marlins | 40c | 258.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Nationals | 50c | 257.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…ded5backed Marlins | 16c | 249.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Nationals | 54c | 223.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Nationals | 50c | 200.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Marlins | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Marlins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e08…bebfbacked Marlins | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 51c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Nationals | 78c | 192.92$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…aa79backed Nationals | 54c | 191.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Nationals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Marlins | 50c | 182.42$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Nationals | 52c | 164.9$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d6…bec9backed Marlins | 51c | 157.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 70c | 139.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…7911backed Marlins | 16c | 127.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…16bfbacked Nationals | 54c | 127.69$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…aa71backed Nationals | 47c | 127.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x937d…ff94backed Nationals | 47c | 127.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Marlins | 48c | 126.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…c57abacked Nationals | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Marlins | 50c | 121.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Marlins | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 50c | 116.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…67a5backed Marlins | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nationals | 50c | 111.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Marlins | 49c | 111$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Marlins | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Nationals | 66c | 101.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Marlins | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Marlins | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Marlins | 48c | 89.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 50c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Marlins | 50c | 70.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marlins vs. Nationalsthis page
- Marlins vs. Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Marlins (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.