WNBA · resolved market
Sun vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94f03fb3e9e4f4554a6ef46b6ad5cd1141a6e9cf01d2747f9c6feb13d790a450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunof Sun, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Sun | 44c | 4,117$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.09 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mystics | 62c | 2,128$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.68 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sun | 32c | 2,121$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.51 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 68c | 1,800$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.25 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sun | 44c | 1,249$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.63 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…2114backed Sun | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mystics | 68c | 1,025$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.68 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Mystics | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Sun | 32c | 892.9$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.08 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…f1babacked Mystics | 76c | 864.92$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mystics | 21c | 738.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.1 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mystics | 71c | 709.99$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.09 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d2…c66abacked Mystics | 70c | 586$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…0ebcbacked Mystics | 70c | 581$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mystics | 52c | 466.89$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.09 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Mystics | 11c | 463.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Sun | 56c | 437.57$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mystics | 25c | 402.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Sun | 28c | 351.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sun | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sun | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…e860backed Mystics | 43c | 218.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sun | 29c | 200.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Mystics | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Sun | 64c | 197.46$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mystics | 72c | 195.56$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b1…3a8abacked Mystics | 49c | 157$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b74…2bc1backed Sun | 51c | 157$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…548abacked Sun | 55c | 145$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…d76bbacked Mystics | 45c | 145$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mystics | 28c | 142$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3f…4ceabacked Mystics | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Sun | 32c | 116.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mystics | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Mystics | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Mystics | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Sun | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Sun | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mystics | 70c | 89.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Mystics | 50c | 89.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sun | 29c | 85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Mystics | 68c | 77.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sun | 27c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Mystics | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sun | 27c | 66.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Sun | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Sun | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mystics | 69c | 61.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…14babacked Mystics | 39c | 59.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mystics | 59c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Sun | 71c | 44.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Mystics | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Mystics | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Mystics | 72c | 41.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Mystics | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf5…26a6backed Mystics | 70c | 35.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Mystics | 62c | 30.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Mystics | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Sun | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…cd47backed Mystics | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…ba35backed Mystics | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Mystics | 65c | 26.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.