TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedf5…26a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$220.91
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+192.1%+$78.96
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.41
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$149.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs Imperial Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffsbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs AaB Esport (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked Vasco Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$38.71
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$117.09
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$124.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.99
Bengals vs. Commanders backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+52.9%+$21.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$92.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sun vs Mysticsbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.