NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf56bab9d9568c1448822ca3bdb180abb81df70b0e67ad2fbaac7a63a2520e910
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Capitals | 75c | 18,678$13,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,962.79 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Sabres | 26c | 14,437$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,741.7 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Capitals | 75c | 10,045$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500.49 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sabres | 25c | 8,151$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,112.98 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Sabres | 26c | 7,611$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658.41 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sabres | 27c | 4,542$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.33 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Capitals | 6c | 4,320$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.41 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Sabres | 52c | 3,859$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.28 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Capitals | 75c | 3,453$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.55 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Sabres | 55c | 3,182$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.86 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Capitals | 73c | 2,896$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.38 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Sabres | 25c | 2,850$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Sabres | 25c | 2,745$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.17 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Capitals | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Sabres | 25c | 2,597$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 74c | 2,520$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.33 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 28c | 2,495$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.4 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 28c | 2,340$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.46 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Sabres | 33c | 2,126$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Capitals | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Capitals | 67c | 1,789$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.13 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Capitals | 19c | 1,710$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.86 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Sabres | 25c | 1,540$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.96 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c93…8f21backed Capitals | 75c | 1,540$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Capitals | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.81 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Sabres | 26c | 1,496$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 72c | 1,447$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.56 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…e818backed Capitals | 75c | 1,334$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…d534backed Sabres | 18c | 1,315$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +248.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Sabres | 26c | 1,250$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sabres | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Capitals | 45c | 1,087$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.72 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Capitals | 51c | 1,070$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Capitals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Sabres | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sabres | 25c | 960$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 25c | 928.86$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.79 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres | 26c | 798.96$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.23 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Capitals | 29c | 678.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.49 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Sabres | 26c | 668.59$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.76 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Sabres | 26c | 600$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Sabres | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Capitals | 74c | 567$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.58 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sabres | 26c | 567$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Capitals | 75c | 534.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres | 47c | 499.23$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed Sabres | 55c | 446.69$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Capitals | 25c | 403.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Capitals | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Capitals | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Capitals | 73c | 265.89$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Capitals | 76c | 252.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sabres | 25c | 250.98$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.57 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…bfb8backed Sabres | 27c | 229.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Sabres | 27c | 222$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Capitals | 73c | 221.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sabres | 25c | 201$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Sabres | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…0cf9backed Sabres | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 28c | 196.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Sabres | 26c | 190.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Sabres | 25c | 180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Sabres | 24c | 166.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Capitals | 9c | 148.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 26c | 145.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Capitals | 73c | 145$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…8dc5backed Capitals | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…88d9backed Capitals | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Sabres | 78c | 123.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Capitals | 74c | 122$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Sabres | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 76c | 111$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Sabres | 32c | 103.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Capitals | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Capitals | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Capitals | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Capitals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c18…dc3cbacked Sabres | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Capitals | 79c | 90$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4429…2e4dbacked Capitals | 74c | 81.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 69.8%60 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Capitals | 74c | 80.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Sabres | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…7790backed Sabres | 27c | 77.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 71c | 76.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…b8e9backed Sabres | 28c | 74.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…32bbbacked Capitals | 74c | 72.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Capitals | 74c | 65.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6e…f37fbacked Sabres | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Sabres | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5977…e5a4backed Capitals | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…59d1backed Sabres | 28c | 58.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…70f9backed Capitals | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Capitals | 75c | 57.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…3b4bbacked Sabres | 53c | 54.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…a802backed Sabres | 25c | 52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…7a72backed Capitals | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…a006backed Capitals | 75c | 50.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.