MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb2a5489081babeed861d2c9e2b5e37b84dbcd202fd201e4f023d3ae58f00691
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Brewers, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Blue Jays | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Brewers | 50c | 14,977$7,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,488.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 51c | 12,834$6,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,516.01 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Blue Jays | 49c | 6,227$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.96 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Brewers | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 50c | 3,972$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.13 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 49c | 3,322$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.82 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Blue Jays | 59c | 3,313$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.15 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Brewers | 52c | 3,058$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 2,652$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.16 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers | 7c | 2,263$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 56c | 2,257$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.35 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Brewers | 46c | 1,955$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.72 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Blue Jays | 42c | 1,645$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.03 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…ca28backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,524$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 49c | 1,134$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 1,085$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.79 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Brewers | 31c | 1,056$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.5 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 55c | 949.21$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 52c | 817$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.96 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Blue Jays | 51c | 704.37$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.14 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 48c | 700.83$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.93 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Brewers | 45c | 693.9$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.47 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Brewers | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 52c | 600$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 50c | 575.72$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.15 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jays | 54c | 556.46$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Brewers | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Blue Jays | 58c | 519.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.21 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Brewers | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Blue Jays | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 477.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.43 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Blue Jays | 48c | 453.41$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.77 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jays | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Blue Jays | 52c | 443.07$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Brewers | 9c | 433.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 42c | 430.15$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.7 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…6712backed Brewers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 45c | 369.19$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.99 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 353.84$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.84 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Brewers | 49c | 350$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 23c | 346.96$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 49c | 344.26$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Blue Jays | 71c | 343.2$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Blue Jays | 73c | 318.74$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Brewers | 52c | 301.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Blue Jays | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Brewers | 44c | 290.64$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brewers | 15c | 275$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Brewers | 52c | 275$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 270.51$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Brewers | 48c | 265.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Blue Jays | 52c | 249.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Blue Jays | 72c | 227$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 47c | 219.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 217$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Brewers | 49c | 206.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Blue Jays | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91a…5145backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…64e9backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…50adbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…c629backed Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…1d5ebacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…efc9backed Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…c3febacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…07eebacked Brewers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b1…7b5cbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Brewers vs. Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.