WNBA · resolved market
Lynx vs Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5b4933fbc6e0d97b5d9aee1cd681b8048c7718680953d89cd9e9deb0aaad72c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Lynx, Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lynx | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Fever | 30c | 4,902$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.7 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Lynx | 67c | 3,831$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.05 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lynx | 71c | 3,213$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Fever | 36c | 2,944$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.65 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Lynx | 62c | 2,217$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.94 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Fever | 29c | 2,126$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lynx | 70c | 2,054$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.2 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Fever | 30c | 2,050$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Fever | 38c | 1,910$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.6 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Fever | 27c | 1,503$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.97 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Lynx | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Lynx | 73c | 1,341$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.75 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Fever | 29c | 1,288$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.63 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Fever | 31c | 1,226$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.04 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Fever | 35c | 1,225$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.05 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Fever | 8c | 921.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Fever | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Fever | 30c | 776.65$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Lynx | 56c | 745.49$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.28 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Fever | 19c | 705.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.76 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lynx | 50c | 671.57$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lynx | 68c | 615$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Fever | 23c | 516.2$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Fever | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Fever | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Lynx | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Lynx | 66c | 491.16$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Lynx | 62c | 481.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Fever | 47c | 408.1$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Fever | 25c | 402.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Lynx | 59c | 401.69$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Fever | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…85f4backed Lynx | 49c | 370.57$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fever | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Fever | 29c | 341.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Lynx | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fever | 34c | 292.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Lynx | 61c | 257$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lynx | 68c | 243.75$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fever | 16c | 240$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Fever | 44c | 210.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fever | 29c | 199.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Lynx | 72c | 186.07$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fever | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lynx | 66c | 143$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Fever | 31c | 142$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Lynx | 69c | 111.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Fever | 30c | 101.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Lynx | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Fever | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Lynx | 65c | 81.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…bf9dbacked Fever | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +191.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Fever | 32c | 75.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Lynx | 64c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Fever | 31c | 68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Fever | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Fever | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Lynx | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Fever | 41c | 58.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Fever | 28c | 54.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Fever | 40c | 47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Lynx | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Fever | 28c | 42.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Fever | 47c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…7bd1backed Fever | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…8630backed Lynx | 71c | 38.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Fever | 36c | 36.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lynx | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…5f1abacked Fever | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…ba35backed Fever | 63c | 15.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.