MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d5a421a8ba289e16d49e51b8d57e97bfde5e4831663d39512dce66ffda20a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $493,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $502,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 596 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 19c | 209,673$40,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,501.35 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 53c | 32,100$17,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,013 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Nationals | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,899.99 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 49c | 13,928$6,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,805.74 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nationals | 38c | 8,975$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,595.3 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Marlins | 46c | 8,698$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.86 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 45c | 7,502$3,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Marlins | 32c | 6,820$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.38 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 52c | 6,539$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.66 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 45c | 6,380$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508.75 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Nationals | 53c | 6,121$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.01 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 47c | 4,924$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.6 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Marlins | 53c | 4,777$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.81 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 48c | 4,200$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Marlins | 54c | 3,882$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.25 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 53c | 3,507$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Nationals | 47c | 3,326$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.96 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Nationals | 66c | 2,952$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.62 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Nationals | 46c | 2,317$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.25 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 66c | 1,966$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.14 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Nationals | 46c | 1,750$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Marlins | 54c | 1,343$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.21 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 53c | 1,172$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.19 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 47c | 1,149$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.94 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…df6abacked Nationals | 46c | 1,113$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd0…647bbacked Marlins | 54c | 1,107$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ff…0a9ebacked Marlins | 54c | 1,093$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…6375backed Nationals | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Nationals | 53c | 1,021$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.08 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Nationals | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 55c | 997$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.95 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Marlins | 45c | 975.01$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.79 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nationals | 46c | 969$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.26 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Nationals | 48c | 960.29$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.29 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 47c | 851$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.03 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 46c | 800$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nationals | 74c | 742.33$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.01 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Marlins | 52c | 695.65$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.74 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…2b6bbacked Marlins | 54c | 695.33$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 24c | 691.13$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Marlins | 2c | 633.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Marlins | 55c | 616.74$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.89 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Nationals | 40c | 600.93$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.05 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Marlins | 54c | 595.8$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.73 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab9…4669backed Nationals | 47c | 595.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nationals | 78c | 577$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Marlins | 54c | 549.01$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.79 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 45c | 519.84$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.91 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 53c | 504$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.12 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Marlins | 3c | 499.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 47c | 479.04$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Marlins | 54c | 453.02$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.63 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Marlins | 54c | 444.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Nationals | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Marlins | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marlins | 53c | 359.35$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.46 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 53c | 303.96$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Marlins | 29c | 299.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Nationals | 53c | 293.68$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.03 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 54c | 293$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Marlins | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 55c | 235.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Marlins | 41c | 231.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…5fc9backed Marlins | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 54c | 220$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 63c | 218.96$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Nationals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Nationals | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Nationals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Marlins | 53c | 205$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.65 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…18cfbacked Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…502ebacked Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…8364backed Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…05fabacked Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…cd16backed Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…7565backed Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…3223backed Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9788…ad77backed Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3070…218cbacked Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…4a5ebacked Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…716ebacked Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Marlins | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…289fbacked Nationals | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Marlinsthis page
- Nationals vs. Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.