MLB · resolved market
Royals vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d739b12d822fbec532c7fc0e90ff38aa88d0567aab6b34e98ba0700ce4accd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Royals, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 57c | 17,285$9,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,453.06 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Royals | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Phillies | 52c | 6,676$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.74 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 42c | 5,227$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.35 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 54c | 4,490$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.08 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 22c | 3,834$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.38 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Phillies | 58c | 3,026$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.86 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Phillies | 51c | 3,026$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.27 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Royals | 40c | 2,900$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 49c | 2,831$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Royals | 44c | 2,658$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.94 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Royals | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Royals | 11c | 1,693$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.23 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 51c | 1,550$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.97 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 52c | 1,438$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.32 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Royals | 42c | 1,320$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.38 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Royals | 49c | 1,254$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.07 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Phillies | 53c | 1,179$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.22 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Phillies | 57c | 1,121$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.03 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Royals | 44c | 1,012$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.3 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Royals | 42c | 1,000$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.01 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Phillies | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Phillies | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Royals | 42c | 999.56$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.96 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 56c | 986.76$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.18 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Phillies | 56c | 982$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.08 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Royals | 44c | 964.72$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.5 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Royals | 42c | 930.7$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.34 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Royals | 49c | 842.26$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.71 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Royals | 5c | 795.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Royals | 43c | 748$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.57 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Phillies | 52c | 731.86$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.24 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Royals | 54c | 726.18$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 47c | 724.16$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Phillies | 70c | 719.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.09 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Phillies | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 42c | 699.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Royals | 42c | 698.46$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.35 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Phillies | 58c | 690$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.8 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 58c | 689$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.38 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Royals | 42c | 668$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.56 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Royals | 53c | 604.84$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.57 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 57c | 600$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Phillies | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 58c | 599$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.58 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Royals | 40c | 584.37$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.62 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…59e4backed Royals | 10c | 524.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Phillies | 58c | 520.69$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Royals | 44c | 508.87$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.17 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Royals | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Phillies | 63c | 479.42$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Phillies | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Royals | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Royals | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Phillies | 56c | 420.81$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.81 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Phillies | 58c | 342.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Royals | 43c | 324.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.58 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Royals | 59c | 267$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.46 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Phillies | 57c | 219.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9133backed Phillies | 59c | 208.47$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 59c | 205.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Phillies | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Royals | 44c | 200.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Royals | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Royals | 45c | 193.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Phillies | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Phillies | 54c | 166.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Royals | 41c | 160.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b70…788bbacked Royals | 44c | 152.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Royals | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Royals | 14c | 143.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Royals | 11c | 132$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Royals | 43c | 131.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Phillies | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d3…127cbacked Royals | 44c | 127.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Phillies | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Phillies | 48c | 109.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Phillies | 58c | 103$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Phillies | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Royals | 60c | 94.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…1a71backed Royals | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Royals | 51c | 79.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Phillies | 64c | 78.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…b04dbacked Royals | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Phillies | 58c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Phillies | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Phillies | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7777…f2bbbacked Phillies | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Royals | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Phillies | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…4b49backed Phillies | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…1021backed Phillies | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Royals vs. Philliesthis page
- Royals vs. Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Phillies (-1.5)Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.