NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aa11d7e26dc67cd65d352451d4dcca6ca31633a99b501cb14177eade4232a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06bf…a9ddbacked Ducks | 42c | 10,040$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…50bfbacked Flames | 58c | 10,028$5,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,211.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Flames | 59c | 2,693$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…8949backed Flames | 50c | 2,692$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Ducks | 48c | 2,366$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.88 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Ducks | 50c | 2,284$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.97 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Flames | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.94 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Ducks | 50c | 1,084$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.16 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Flames | 65c | 1,042$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Flames | 53c | 1,012$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ducks | 28c | 999.22$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.36 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Flames | 55c | 878.62$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.38 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 33c | 864.09$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.1 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 45c | 696.13$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.14 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 39c | 644.16$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.86 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…61aabacked Ducks | 29c | 642.98$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Ducks | 43c | 622.87$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.83 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Ducks | 40c | 620$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Ducks | 42c | 619.83$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.33 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Flames | 57c | 618.34$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.34 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ducks | 43c | 549.17$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.35 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…9adabacked Flames | 78c | 525.4$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.31 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Flames | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…3750backed Flames | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x390f…9ef2backed Ducks | 45c | 500$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Ducks | 39c | 481.96$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.46 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Ducks | 42c | 420$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 3c | 377$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb09…dd9cbacked Ducks | 45c | 360$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…e481backed Flames | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Flames | 55c | 307.04$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…4655backed Flames | 68c | 253.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Flames | 75c | 240.31$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Flames | 70c | 208.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 56c | 202.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Ducks | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Flames | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Flames | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 41c | 195.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Flames | 60c | 183.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Ducks | 27c | 182.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Ducks | 27c | 181.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…f3fbbacked Ducks | 43c | 176.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…1835backed Flames | 59c | 175.63$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Flames | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 30c | 173.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Flames | 58c | 172.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…a953backed Flames | 58c | 163.03$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Ducks | 35c | 162.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…fbcbbacked Ducks | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Flames | 54c | 150.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ducks | 41c | 146$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04c…b6ccbacked Ducks | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 43c | 130.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…6987backed Ducks | 35c | 127.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c97…2233backed Ducks | 43c | 116.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flames | 66c | 113.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…7d7ebacked Ducks | 43c | 106.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Flames | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked Flames | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Ducks | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Ducks | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Ducks | 42c | 99.94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Ducks | 53c | 94.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd07c…1665backed Flames | 57c | 87.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Flames | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…7c8abacked Flames | 58c | 78.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd4…6632backed Flames | 58c | 73.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…482bbacked Flames | 58c | 70.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Ducks | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c7…b836backed Flames | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Flames | 58c | 55.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bd…094cbacked Ducks | 44c | 53.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…4699backed Ducks | 45c | 50.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Flames | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Ducks | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Flames | 56c | 49.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Flames | 57c | 44.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Ducks | 44c | 44.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…501ebacked Flames | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Ducks | 45c | 43.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fa…17edbacked Ducks | 45c | 41.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ec…7c1bbacked Ducks | 45c | 40.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Ducks | 44c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33f5…2474backed Ducks | 44c | 39.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…a96abacked Flames | 56c | 37.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Ducks | 27c | 37.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Ducks | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…58ccbacked Flames | 56c | 35.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ae…f800backed Flames | 56c | 35.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed Ducks | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f75…4b30backed Flames | 55c | 34.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…d9afbacked Flames | 57c | 34.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3387…68a7backed Flames | 56c | 33.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…c619backed Ducks | 44c | 33.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…88ccbacked Flames | 56c | 33.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aaa…550dbacked Ducks | 44c | 33.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.