MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07b86f20baaaf88ac8007abd7aa928c6e20b96b64cb77e0843bede628ef3b32a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Red Sox, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $798,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $795,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $798,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 639,099$294,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344,854.62 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 54c | 168,842$91,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,174.68 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 54c | 148,809$80,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,377.04 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Red Sox | 54c | 120,900$65,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,286 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Sox | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Red Sox | 55c | 44,727$24,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,599.99 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 25,260$14,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,769.57 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Sox | 54c | 25,166$13,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,464.64 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Red Sox | 51c | 24,576$12,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,520.43 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 43c | 24,242$10,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,510.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Red Sox | 55c | 20,000$10,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,988.89 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 18,465$8,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,155.68 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 54c | 17,391$9,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,390.87 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 41c | 11,944$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.99 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Red Sox | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox | 53c | 7,500$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 38c | 7,171$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 55c | 7,051$3,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.86 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 54c | 7,002$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.08 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 5,587$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.68 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Red Sox | 44c | 5,250$2,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.5 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 54c | 4,910$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,634.16 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 53c | 3,046$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.28 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Red Sox | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox | 55c | 2,666$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,620$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.99 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Diamondbacks | 74c | 2,596$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.15 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Red Sox | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Red Sox | 55c | 2,321$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.55 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Red Sox | 2c | 2,309$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Red Sox | 54c | 2,300$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Red Sox | 55c | 2,218$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 6c | 2,084$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 39c | 2,058$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox | 30c | 1,721$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.55 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 53c | 1,683$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.99 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 2c | 1,393$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 30c | 1,309$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Red Sox | 12c | 1,210$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 23c | 1,147$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.75 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox | 44c | 1,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Sox | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Red Sox | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 988.99$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Red Sox | 2c | 933.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 54c | 920.85$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 888$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Red Sox | 25c | 873.87$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Red Sox | 53c | 797.1$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.63 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 71c | 737$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Red Sox | 2c | 725$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Red Sox | 54c | 723$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.42 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 652.16$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.36 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Red Sox | 50c | 645.45$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox | 55c | 560$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 538.38$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.49 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Sox | 28c | 525$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 482.22$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.57 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 409$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Red Sox | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Red Sox | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox | 55c | 341.47$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.81 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked Diamondbacks | 71c | 321$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Red Sox | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Sox | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 294$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 54c | 276$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Diamondbacks | 78c | 255.46$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Red Sox | 32c | 240.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 215$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 214.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 209.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 206$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 53c | 203.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Red Sox | 55c | 190.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Red Sox | 53c | 188$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Sox | 45c | 184.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Red Sox | 9c | 184.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…dc44backed Red Sox | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 177$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 176.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Red Sox | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d49…9601backed Red Sox | 38c | 147.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Red Sox | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Red Sox | 41c | 117.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…b27fbacked Red Sox | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 116$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Diamondbacksthis page
- Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Red Sox (-1.5)Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.