NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ef49b79325c9253c315ec5f71feb31cb4e3d943966b8ca9df87b5bea43de62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 6,825$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.59 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Oilers | 62c | 6,535$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,051.53 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Maple Leafs | 78c | 5,516$4,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.43 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 48c | 3,985$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.93 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Oilers | 30c | 3,300$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Oilers | 48c | 2,001$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.05 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…7f70backed Oilers | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06e…7ee0backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 60c | 1,075$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.94 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers | 12c | 586.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 504.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.03 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 503.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 481.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.57 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Oilers | 59c | 448.11$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.39 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Oilers | 60c | 431.25$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.75 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 414.29$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.29 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Oilers | 61c | 377.05$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 305$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oilers | 25c | 256.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f4…d961backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 238.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Oilers | 5c | 219.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Oilers | 5c | 215$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Oilers | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Oilers | 14c | 213$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Oilers | 61c | 198.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Oilers | 16c | 195.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 32c | 140.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…822fbacked Oilers | 61c | 132.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 118.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Oilers | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 104.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…a08abacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d0…2b50backed Oilers | 61c | 101.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Oilers | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Oilers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Oilers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Oilers | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383b…c4febacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 83.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79bb…8fc6backed Oilers | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…f0e4backed Oilers | 61c | 64.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…91d7backed Oilers | 61c | 64.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…29ebbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 63.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d4…42a8backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 62.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Oilers | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 55.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…5be4backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…7b55backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Oilers | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…f66bbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 43.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…dc1cbacked Oilers | 61c | 42.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…6290backed Oilers | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a4…6302backed Oilers | 60c | 38.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…dc3abacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 38.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cde…4d79backed Oilers | 60c | 38.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796b…299cbacked Oilers | 60c | 38.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…b85dbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 38.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ead…c956backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 37.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…1576backed Oilers | 60c | 37.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d55…add4backed Oilers | 66c | 35.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b5…b3bdbacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 35.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1b…5bb6backed Oilers | 64c | 33.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…49bebacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 33.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…c3eabacked Oilers | 60c | 33.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…a244backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 32.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca63…8b91backed Oilers | 60c | 32.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Oilers | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…010cbacked Oilers | 60c | 29.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ed…7d61backed Oilers | 60c | 29.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…3b9abacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 28.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…2fc6backed Oilers | 60c | 28.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7da…dd08backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 28.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…70ddbacked Oilers | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 60c | 25.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…2f06backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…91a6backed Oilers | 66c | 24.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…f7acbacked Oilers | 60c | 23.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…3b70backed Oilers | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…77cdbacked Oilers | 60c | 21.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b32…c3b2backed Oilers | 63c | 20.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…3607backed Oilers | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.