NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc17a14c56151e7514119d1a62ff3783a0176b0262defb5d18f0211462c6481ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Penguins | 60c | 93,361$55,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,589.49 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Sharks | 27c | 55,000$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 79c | 44,007$34,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,446.02 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Penguins | 63c | 20,947$13,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,657.55 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Sharks | 21c | 20,722$4,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,387.25 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Sharks | 41c | 20,150$8,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,261.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sharks | 40c | 16,740$6,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,656.64 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sharks | 39c | 16,669$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496.92 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Sharks | 40c | 16,610$6,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,643.83 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Sharks | 22c | 14,896$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.14 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Penguins | 57c | 12,005$6,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,162.05 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Penguins | 57c | 10,311$5,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.96 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Sharks | 41c | 10,220$4,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,195.52 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Sharks | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Penguins | 69c | 9,236$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.48 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Sharks | 40c | 8,771$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.7 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks | 41c | 8,555$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.87 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Penguins | 60c | 6,493$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.2 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Sharks | 21c | 5,105$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.96 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Sharks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penguins | 78c | 4,615$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.1 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Penguins | 78c | 4,593$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.46 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Penguins | 58c | 4,559$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.7 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5027…40afbacked Sharks | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…197ebacked Penguins | 61c | 4,500$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks | 23c | 4,225$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.51 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Sharks | 39c | 3,942$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.68 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Penguins | 58c | 3,397$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.8 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sharks | 40c | 3,214$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.81 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Penguins | 63c | 3,193$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.21 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sharks | 40c | 3,181$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.5 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Sharks | 42c | 2,769$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.98 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Penguins | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Sharks | 29c | 2,338$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.15 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Sharks | 44c | 2,226$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.51 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Sharks | 33c | 2,016$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.24 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Penguins | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Penguins | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks | 29c | 1,980$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.33 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 40c | 1,890$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.72 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sharks | 40c | 1,769$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.78 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Sharks | 22c | 1,700$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sharks | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Penguins | 59c | 1,142$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.89 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Sharks | 22c | 1,096$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.18 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Sharks | 41c | 1,063$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.26 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 31c | 1,000$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Penguins | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Penguins | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Sharks | 42c | 999.95$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5506backed Sharks | 44c | 990.91$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sharks | 41c | 975.72$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.23 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…7f4fbacked Penguins | 74c | 945.96$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Penguins | 58c | 923.74$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.97 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Sharks | 40c | 921$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.48 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 41c | 750$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Penguins | 58c | 700$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Penguins | 59c | 691.53$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.53 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…bc2dbacked Sharks | 43c | 690$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Penguins | 58c | 648.97$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.32 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sharks | 18c | 648$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…e7aabacked Penguins | 63c | 639.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Penguins | 79c | 627$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Sharks | 41c | 558$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.78 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Penguins | 58c | 554$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.68 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Sharks | 41c | 504$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.04 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penguins | 74c | 463.94$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked Sharks | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Penguins | 57c | 382.52$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Penguins | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588f…c497backed Penguins | 59c | 330$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…2e92backed Sharks | 6c | 310.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Penguins | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sharks | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Sharks | 41c | 296$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…354dbacked Sharks | 42c | 280$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…518cbacked Penguins | 61c | 277.75$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Penguins | 57c | 275$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Penguins | 58c | 264.53$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Penguins | 59c | 259.52$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Penguins | 60c | 259.15$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Sharks | 41c | 249.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Sharks | 43c | 241.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…c104backed Sharks | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Sharks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Penguins | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Penguins | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sharks | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Sharks | 41c | 196.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Penguins | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Penguins | 61c | 163.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -11.1wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…0eafbacked Penguins | 59c | 150.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Penguins | 59c | 144$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Sharks | 22c | 133.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Sharks | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb05c…cba1backed Sharks | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Penguins | 57c | 115$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Sharksthis page
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.