NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6456e92135e988551df454d020b054f76fc3e922fb141004e55a81e901d453c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Ducks, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $289,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 31c | 57,812$17,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,927.24 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kraken | 55c | 36,677$20,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,516.86 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Kraken | 63c | 28,543$17,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,627.4 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Kraken | 55c | 28,173$15,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,777.72 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kraken | 74c | 25,627$18,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,679.94 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Ducks | 45c | 20,250$9,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,114.93 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Ducks | 45c | 18,200$8,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,190 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Ducks | 46c | 17,085$7,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,859.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kraken | 72c | 16,530$11,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,590.58 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks | 44c | 16,345$7,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,190.6 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Kraken | 64c | 13,514$8,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.3 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ducks | 0c | 9,828$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ducks | 45c | 9,500$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,275 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Kraken | 55c | 8,935$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.6 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Ducks | 35c | 8,570$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.6 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Ducks | 29c | 8,169$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.11 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…85b2backed Kraken | 76c | 5,995$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Ducks | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Ducks | 46c | 3,701$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Ducks | 36c | 3,267$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Ducks | 45c | 3,007$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken | 54c | 2,464$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.28 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Kraken | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kraken | 73c | 2,047$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.14 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 59c | 2,044$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.32 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…a851backed Ducks | 46c | 1,871$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…2ec3backed Kraken | 54c | 1,868$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Ducks | 36c | 1,748$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kraken | 55c | 1,739$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.64 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kraken | 75c | 1,579$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.21 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Ducks | 22c | 1,470$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.74 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Kraken | 51c | 1,456$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Ducks | 27c | 1,384$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.24 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 56c | 1,370$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.16 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Ducks | 22c | 1,264$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.5 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 55c | 1,157$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.62 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Ducks | 31c | 1,139$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.97 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Ducks | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Ducks | 51c | 988.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Ducks | 45c | 940$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 47c | 915.12$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.48 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Ducks | 50c | 888$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Ducks | 45c | 788.23$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.96 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 36c | 680$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.92 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa09…94f6backed Ducks | 49c | 618.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Ducks | 45c | 550.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Ducks | 45c | 547.97$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.76 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Ducks | 31c | 544$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.08 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 52c | 433.37$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.02 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 4c | 424.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 54c | 422$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.34 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Kraken | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Kraken | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 53c | 354.51$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.62 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks | 45c | 352.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…355fbacked Ducks | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Ducks | 51c | 348.45$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.51 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Ducks | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kraken | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kraken | 70c | 279$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Ducks | 47c | 270.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kraken | 69c | 269.73$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Ducks | 47c | 255.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fe…32f2backed Kraken | 55c | 201.28$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Kraken | 57c | 196.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Kraken | 54c | 191.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…0932backed Ducks | 28c | 186.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Kraken | 54c | 185.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Kraken | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kraken | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Ducks | 30c | 165.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Ducks | 35c | 157.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683d…ed3fbacked Ducks | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Kraken | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…54bfbacked Ducks | 46c | 116.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…8cd1backed Kraken | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Kraken | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…c12bbacked Ducks | 47c | 107.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c68…4305backed Ducks | 46c | 103.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kraken | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kraken | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Ducks | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Ducks | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Ducks | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…5b1abacked Ducks | 23c | 96.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5103…5c23backed Kraken | 75c | 94.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…3f62backed Kraken | 56c | 92.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad3…7044backed Kraken | 54c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…8ba5backed Ducks | 46c | 80.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Kraken | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…73f1backed Ducks | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…ce51backed Ducks | 46c | 75.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…e188backed Ducks | 46c | 74.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kraken | 53c | 73.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Ducks | 45c | 71.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Kraken | 72c | 71.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Ducks | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Krakenthis page
- Ducks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.