MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03f5d0a895344ee858faa341f9da81eefc1a6f3ae81bd6a126a605a30f34f145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 48c | 4,882$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.2 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 52c | 4,000$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.02 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 20c | 3,826$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 53c | 3,522$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.52 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Braves | 50c | 3,296$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.64 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Braves | 41c | 2,715$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.75 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves | 48c | 2,571$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.73 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mariners | 74c | 2,514$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.99 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Mariners | 50c | 2,209$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.92 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 51c | 2,121$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.76 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 48c | 1,670$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.59 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mariners | 47c | 1,200$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 50c | 1,152$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Mariners | 49c | 1,023$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.9 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mariners | 49c | 867.6$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.48 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mariners | 51c | 863.99$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.23 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 49c | 816$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Mariners | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 50c | 508.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Braves | 52c | 461.6$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Braves | 3c | 418.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Braves | 50c | 400$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 51c | 395.23$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Braves | 49c | 366$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.34 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braves | 41c | 258$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Braves | 51c | 250$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Braves | 53c | 241.94$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 44c | 221.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…730ebacked Mariners | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…47e3backed Braves | 49c | 209.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Mariners | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Braves | 48c | 207.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Mariners | 50c | 201.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.51 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Braves | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mariners | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Mariners | 50c | 199.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves | 49c | 198.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Braves | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…ceddbacked Braves | 13c | 172.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Mariners | 49c | 164.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 53c | 162.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Braves | 46c | 156.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…aef4backed Mariners | 52c | 155$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Braves | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 49c | 136.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Braves | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Braves | 45c | 106.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Braves | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Mariners | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Braves | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mariners | 51c | 98.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…4a3cbacked Mariners | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…1a71backed Mariners | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Braves | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Braves | 52c | 78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…80f8backed Braves | 52c | 76.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Mariners | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Mariners | 52c | 71.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Mariners | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…b04dbacked Mariners | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a21…0229backed Mariners | 65c | 57.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Mariners | 54c | 57.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Mariners | 45c | 50.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Mariners | 79c | 50.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Braves | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x774e…4665backed Mariners | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 46c | 47.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Braves | 49c | 42.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Mariners | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Mariners | 49c | 40.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Braves | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Braves | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Mariners | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Braves | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…a688backed Mariners | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Braves | 53c | 35.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Mariners | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Braves | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…70ddbacked Mariners | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…3dbfbacked Mariners | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Mariners | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…1e01backed Mariners | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…73f1backed Mariners | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…5be4backed Mariners | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Mariners | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4c…3bb8backed Mariners | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.