MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3523417d1bd6162cf1cd0d92bd957d9fd0b226d7441d3b2625673dae60c1a2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Red Sox | 54c | 11,345$6,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,269.8 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres | 65c | 10,592$6,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,923.55 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Red Sox | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.93 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 61c | 4,483$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Padres | 61c | 3,461$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Padres | 0c | 3,379$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 18c | 2,781$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 54c | 2,556$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox | 35c | 2,453$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.46 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Red Sox | 39c | 2,146$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.29 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Red Sox | 60c | 1,672$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.67 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox | 48c | 1,586$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.76 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 33c | 1,511$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.65 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Padres | 61c | 1,230$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Padres | 16c | 1,180$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 61c | 1,051$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.67 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 62c | 999.92$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.95 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 44c | 862.25$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Red Sox | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Padres | 61c | 737.7$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox | 38c | 687.09$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 29c | 648.6$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.31 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Padres | 61c | 588.02$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.33 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 6c | 574.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Padres | 61c | 545.9$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Padres | 27c | 517.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 39c | 512.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.81 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Red Sox | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.21 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Red Sox | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 38c | 463.17$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.17 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Red Sox | 38c | 392.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.12 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 39c | 382.9$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Red Sox | 40c | 346.23$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.74 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 59c | 330$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Red Sox | 39c | 299.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Padres | 54c | 282.72$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 38c | 273.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.68 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 68c | 266.65$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Red Sox | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Red Sox | 80c | 251.79$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Red Sox | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 58c | 244.14$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245e…5888backed Red Sox | 38c | 236.84$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…a8abbacked Red Sox | 39c | 200.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Red Sox | 12c | 197.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Padres | 67c | 182.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Padres | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Padres | 61c | 164.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Sox | 40c | 163.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…a9f8backed Red Sox | 40c | 163$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Red Sox | 40c | 160$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Padres | 63c | 159.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…504ebacked Red Sox | 39c | 156.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…c2d6backed Padres | 64c | 156.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Red Sox | 40c | 155.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…f97ebacked Red Sox | 39c | 153.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Red Sox | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Red Sox | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Red Sox | 55c | 143.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Padres | 61c | 142$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc7…6187backed Red Sox | 39c | 141.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b4…3e3cbacked Red Sox | 40c | 137.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Padres | 61c | 136.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Red Sox | 64c | 131.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Padres | 38c | 126$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Red Sox | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…2b30backed Padres | 60c | 121.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb219…9f58backed Red Sox | 40c | 120.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…d433backed Padres | 60c | 118.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Red Sox | 38c | 118.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…a7aebacked Red Sox | 40c | 113.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…a768backed Red Sox | 40c | 108.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…be2fbacked Padres | 60c | 106.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc19…d4f6backed Padres | 60c | 106.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…19febacked Padres | 61c | 105.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…ebafbacked Padres | 60c | 105$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…5e7cbacked Red Sox | 40c | 103.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…e2bfbacked Padres | 60c | 103.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…00f1backed Padres | 61c | 100.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Padres | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Red Sox | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Red Sox | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…dbc7backed Red Sox | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Padres | 15c | 98.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Padres | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7968…5283backed Padres | 61c | 96.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…0299backed Padres | 61c | 95.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.