MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa14bb3e52c195eb0baa1c66c8fab5e37c4dbd4b2410d8f7038683fd71c55473f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $760,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $773,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rangers | 42c | 610,178$256,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353,634.9 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Guardians | 58c | 200,000$116,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,000 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 58c | 105,000$60,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,899.98 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 58c | 80,000$46,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,400 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Guardians | 58c | 61,667$35,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,766.86 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Guardians | 58c | 45,876$26,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,607.84 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 58c | 45,000$26,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,100 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 57c | 34,265$19,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,531 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Guardians | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 52c | 21,490$11,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,073.3 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Guardians | 58c | 13,888$8,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,055.04 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Guardians | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Guardians | 59c | 11,779$6,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,924.8 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Guardians | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Guardians | 58c | 9,580$5,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,556.4 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rangers | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.99 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Guardians | 59c | 6,070$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.3 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Rangers | 74c | 5,961$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.88 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 58c | 4,903$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843.83 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Rangers | 52c | 3,484$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.14 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Guardians | 57c | 3,132$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.98 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Guardians | 58c | 2,700$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Guardians | 54c | 2,543$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.5 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Guardians | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Guardians | 59c | 2,458$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.22 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Guardians | 58c | 2,307$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 2c | 2,301$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rangers | 64c | 1,703$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.45 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rangers | 49c | 1,678$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Guardians | 25c | 1,629$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Guardians | 1c | 1,560$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Rangers | 41c | 1,415$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.83 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Guardians | 59c | 1,380$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.49 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 58c | 1,327$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.64 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.94 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rangers | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Guardians | 57c | 1,124$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.99 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers | 65c | 1,088$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.21 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rangers | 41c | 1,065$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.32 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Guardians | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Guardians | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 42c | 999.96$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 20c | 976.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers | 41c | 849.99$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.5 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Guardians | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers | 62c | 797.25$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.78 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Guardians | 59c | 779.66$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Guardians | 3c | 741.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Guardians | 46c | 740$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.84 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers | 65c | 711.34$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.69 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Guardians | 1c | 707.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rangers | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Guardians | 40c | 698.01$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Guardians | 3c | 665.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 59c | 629.69$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.52 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Rangers | 41c | 592$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.28 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rangers | 41c | 547.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.31 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rangers | 42c | 531.83$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.46 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Guardians | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Guardians | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rangers | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 57c | 474.38$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.01 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Guardians | 41c | 415.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.75 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Guardians | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Guardians | 58c | 387.91$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.12 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rangers | 58c | 363.84$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.41 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab1…7784backed Guardians | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Guardians | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Guardians | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…207dbacked Rangers | 42c | 295$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 58c | 283.18$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Rangers | 41c | 270$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Guardians | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Guardians | 49c | 246.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Guardians | 49c | 244.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Guardians | 59c | 231.49$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…be63backed Guardians | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Guardians | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Guardians | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…88febacked Rangers | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers | 61c | 193.19$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 42c | 173.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Guardians | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Guardians | 9c | 147.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rangers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Guardians | 62c | 143.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Guardians | 59c | 142.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c0…b012backed Rangers | 42c | 142.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rangers | 72c | 137.6$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988f…0b07backed Guardians | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Guardians | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Rangers | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Guardians | 59c | 115.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Guardians | 54c | 111.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Rangers | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Rangers | 42c | 101.43$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Guardians | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Guardiansthis page
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.