MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb57c078ccc4e7a54ec40990d2b89034cd02202c91db27d835bf82ccf70b60b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 10c | 14,982$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.68 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 31c | 9,802$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cardinals | 8c | 4,839$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.12 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Cardinals | 16c | 4,688$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.33 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 8c | 3,500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.31 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cardinals | 11c | 3,409$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.89 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cardinals | 55c | 3,154$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.43 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Cardinals | 16c | 2,811$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.79 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 48c | 2,098$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.9 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,966$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.35 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Marlins | 77c | 1,879$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.61 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 13c | 1,700$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.43 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Marlins | 75c | 1,608$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.74 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins | 56c | 1,303$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.19 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 45c | 1,284$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.22 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cardinals | 24c | 1,253$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 31c | 1,098$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 43c | 1,084$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.96 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 56c | 1,014$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Cardinals | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…970ebacked Marlins | 71c | 965.52$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Marlins | 67c | 759.42$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 44c | 757.57$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.24 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cardinals | 56c | 724.31$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.61 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Marlins | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Marlins | 72c | 676.96$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Marlins | 44c | 650$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Cardinals | 56c | 649.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cb…64e0backed Cardinals | 16c | 626.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Marlins | 78c | 619.48$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.41 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cardinals | 25c | 568.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Cardinals | 57c | 524.91$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 24c | 518.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Cardinals | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Marlins | 78c | 490.08$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.7 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Marlins | 41c | 481.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.06 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Cardinals | 7c | 473.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…624abacked Cardinals | 16c | 469.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…c146backed Cardinals | 9c | 450.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Marlins | 77c | 441.36$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Marlins | 78c | 440.54$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Marlins | 44c | 422.07$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.36 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Marlins | 44c | 352.91$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.69 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 43c | 350.02$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.51 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Marlins | 45c | 329$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.95 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Cardinals | 12c | 310.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Marlins | 46c | 308.78$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.74 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Cardinals | 54c | 308.78$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.74 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 43c | 302.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.33 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cardinals | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cardinals | 55c | 299.69$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Marlins | 59c | 276$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Cardinals | 16c | 250.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Cardinals | 20c | 238.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 56c | 230.92$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 57c | 224.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Cardinals | 35c | 224.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.49 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 31c | 212.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 66c | 206.08$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Marlins | 44c | 186.14$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins | 46c | 155$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Marlins | 67c | 148.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Marlins | 59c | 147.73$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Marlins | 68c | 147.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Cardinals | 53c | 137$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Cardinals | 49c | 117$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Marlins | 44c | 114.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Marlins | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Marlins | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cardinals | 58c | 104.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Marlins | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Cardinals | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf093…ef35backed Marlins | 43c | 101.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cardinals | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Cardinals | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed Marlins | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…f141backed Marlins | 44c | 87.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Cardinals | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…e26abacked Marlins | 78c | 82.07$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…c096backed Cardinals | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…2937backed Marlins | 77c | 73.86$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Cardinals | 55c | 72.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 48c | 71.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 42c | 71.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Cardinals | 56c | 66.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Marlins | 43c | 63.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 39c | 63.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Cardinals | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Cardinals | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Marlins | 77c | 55.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Marlins | 72c | 55.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…c777backed Cardinals | 57c | 53.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 56c | 51.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 39c | 50.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.