NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa5feded941dac20fe1adc8df65d71e40d68a87ea5361e3b9117b9b9078db9d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Blue Jackets, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3697…cf55backed Lightning | 70c | 9,993$6,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…bffebacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 9,993$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…4006backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 7,742$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…76e8backed Lightning | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…fa85backed Lightning | 73c | 6,369$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…79e4backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…2ed3backed Lightning | 72c | 5,390$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Blue Jackets | 6c | 5,270$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.82 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…fcfabacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 4,710$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Blue Jackets | 1c | 3,619$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Blue Jackets | 27c | 3,254$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.36 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Blue Jackets | 0c | 3,125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Lightning | 71c | 2,003$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Blue Jackets | 29c | 1,986$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.93 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 1,779$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.79 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Blue Jackets | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 1,500$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.97 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Blue Jackets | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.97 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,470$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.95 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blue Jackets | 1c | 1,421$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d644backed Lightning | 71c | 1,402$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Lightning | 71c | 1,400$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 1,240$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…6accbacked Blue Jackets | 31c | 1,090$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…eaf1backed Lightning | 69c | 1,080$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…6a65backed Lightning | 77c | 1,043$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ec…9b45backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 1,010$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blue Jackets | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Blue Jackets | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…94f2backed Lightning | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Lightning | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…d87ebacked Blue Jackets | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jackets | 28c | 1,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Blue Jackets | 29c | 999.93$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…0081backed Lightning | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb5…b6b6backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 900$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…2629backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 674.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked Lightning | 71c | 674.35$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…a0eabacked Lightning | 72c | 611.11$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa87…55adbacked Blue Jackets | 29c | 542.67$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…47c9backed Lightning | 71c | 542.67$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 511.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.61 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Lightning | 71c | 497.18$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Blue Jackets | 10c | 473.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b6…9b04backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 450$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…9eb3backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 430$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 72c | 415$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 393.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 370.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd926…4755backed Lightning | 71c | 361.79$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…803abacked Blue Jackets | 29c | 361.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Lightning | 70c | 352.3$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 343.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Lightning | 73c | 342.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…4361backed Lightning | 70c | 337.72$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…1fffbacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 337.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…13dbbacked Lightning | 71c | 325.61$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Lightning | 70c | 314.29$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 71c | 309.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.69 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blue Jackets | 5c | 304.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…084ebacked Lightning | 70c | 280$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Lightning | 72c | 273.61$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 249.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Blue Jackets | 10c | 221.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15af…e753backed Lightning | 70c | 220$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…6f2bbacked Lightning | 70c | 210$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Lightning | 69c | 199.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Blue Jackets | 17c | 194.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…bdcbbacked Lightning | 70c | 189.86$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 187.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc7…45b8backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 185.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e61…57d2backed Lightning | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af2…4a6fbacked Lightning | 71c | 147.79$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 70c | 141.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81a…20b2backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 140.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…f8d5backed Lightning | 71c | 140.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Lightning | 72c | 138.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Lightning | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Lightning | 71c | 112.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lightning | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813c…ab52backed Lightning | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…613dbacked Blue Jackets | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c61…24b8backed Lightning | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Lightning | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Lightning | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b7…c124backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Blue Jackets | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Blue Jackets | 28c | 99.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Blue Jackets | 31c | 99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 68c | 98.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Lightning | 71c | 97.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Blue Jackets | 30c | 96.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…99eabacked Blue Jackets | 32c | 94.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f2…e3efbacked Lightning | 71c | 88.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…b364backed Lightning | 71c | 87.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.