NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x964dad5f4500cded3dee182345fffa9baa87a545f33b8f22f1c0de78677f41b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Penguins | 0c | 7,469$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Penguins | 14c | 2,548$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.76 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Penguins | 21c | 2,335$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.29 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Penguins | 19c | 1,799$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.75 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 2c | 1,612$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,418$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.71 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…cacabacked Penguins | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef2…a55cbacked Penguins | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a62…b810backed Avalanche | 60c | 850$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba7d…469cbacked Penguins | 40c | 850$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0331…7bf2backed Avalanche | 60c | 850$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Penguins | 37c | 827.09$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.02 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e68…a74dbacked Avalanche | 61c | 818.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Penguins | 34c | 691.06$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.66 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 39c | 641.35$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Penguins | 8c | 556.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Avalanche | 59c | 551.16$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.95 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Penguins | 39c | 499.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Penguins | 37c | 436$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Avalanche | 67c | 402.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…1b30backed Penguins | 43c | 315.48$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…8181backed Avalanche | 57c | 315.48$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche | 61c | 303.72$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.52 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche | 63c | 300$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Penguins | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Penguins | 23c | 295.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Avalanche | 59c | 254.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…3605backed Penguins | 43c | 251.61$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…ea20backed Avalanche | 57c | 251.61$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Penguins | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Penguins | 38c | 249.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Penguins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Penguins | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6e…4171backed Avalanche | 12c | 191.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +402.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…fbdcbacked Avalanche | 61c | 185.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b08…c73dbacked Avalanche | 57c | 175.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc9…19a1backed Penguins | 43c | 175.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Avalanche | 63c | 159.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Penguins | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…3df9backed Penguins | 12c | 154.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…cc0fbacked Penguins | 10c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Penguins | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…6f16backed Avalanche | 12c | 139.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +316.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Penguins | 42c | 120.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…4a39backed Avalanche | 14c | 114.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 59c | 103.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Penguins | 40c | 98.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd7…e3e3backed Penguins | 14c | 85.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…0671backed Avalanche | 63c | 79.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -10.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…d737backed Avalanche | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…0fc6backed Avalanche | 60c | 72.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Avalanche | 58c | 71.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f1…9c1abacked Avalanche | 60c | 69.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…16dbbacked Penguins | 41c | 65.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…7be8backed Avalanche | 62c | 65.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Penguins | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…a238backed Avalanche | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…6efcbacked Avalanche | 63c | 60.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aac…93f4backed Penguins | 40c | 60.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Penguins | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…9b51backed Avalanche | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…ebebbacked Penguins | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…750bbacked Avalanche | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…33c9backed Penguins | 40c | 55.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…97d8backed Penguins | 39c | 55.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e4…a71fbacked Penguins | 39c | 54.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…fc91backed Avalanche | 63c | 53.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Avalanche | 59c | 51.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche | 62c | 50.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Avalanche | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Avalanche | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…9367backed Avalanche | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Avalanche | 60c | 46.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…725cbacked Penguins | 40c | 46.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…58cbbacked Avalanche | 61c | 44.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…2446backed Penguins | 40c | 44.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…8dcebacked Avalanche | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aea…6617backed Penguins | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…0e99backed Avalanche | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bba…d329backed Avalanche | 61c | 42.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf75a…bb20backed Penguins | 43c | 41.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…124dbacked Penguins | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…c46abacked Penguins | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…82b5backed Avalanche | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…e672backed Avalanche | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b13…48d1backed Penguins | 42c | 40.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f4…2c3dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 40.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Penguins | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…82d2backed Penguins | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…2d0fbacked Penguins | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…850ebacked Avalanche | 57c | 37.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…00ccbacked Avalanche | 59c | 37.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7a…1baebacked Avalanche | 60c | 36.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…ab5bbacked Penguins | 41c | 36.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…18cabacked Penguins | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…d4f6backed Avalanche | 60c | 36.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +232.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7490…2667backed Avalanche | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5708…4c79backed Penguins | 39c | 35.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.