F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4e69a66e677d5df1cebb184c156246a6ceff0479df426a54ea5aa46a3b6a5d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 8c | 12,264$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +71%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 9,868$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 3c | 9,771$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 21c | 7,641$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.66 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 10c | 4,707$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 17c | 4,330$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,894$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.47 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,281$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.85 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 5c | 2,184$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…7346backed Yes | 20c | 1,561$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes | 14c | 1,448$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.54 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,201$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 11c | 1,177$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 18c | 1,173$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…4537backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 19c | 800$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 77c | 757.89$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.31 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 11c | 717.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed Yes | 10c | 715.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes | 18c | 649.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Yes | 13c | 576.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf281…eeeebacked Yes | 27c | 562.83$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655a…5024backed Yes | 26c | 385.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 366$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e61…b71bbacked Yes | 12c | 340$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…8e99backed Yes | 31c | 310$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…2f6bbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…2569backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb6…5ba8backed Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf109…ea2abacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5c…0c50backed Yes | 6c | 215.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…a042backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -54%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…9bcbbacked Yes | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 11c | 191.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…008abacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…a741backed Yes | 22c | 163.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 23c | 161.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…826abacked Yes | 22c | 154.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…df08backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…6039backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1b…7d60backed Yes | 23c | 139.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…4acabacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 13c | 130.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…94e7backed Yes | 12c | 123.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…0f0cbacked Yes | 23c | 113.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a8…feb4backed Yes | 10c | 111.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…0782backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…3079backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861e…dddebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…380fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…e23dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…b6fabacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb757…aaa2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1b…569abacked Yes | 13c | 97.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd75…8cfebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66e…0107backed Yes | 13c | 86.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 19c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…eea5backed Yes | 32c | 62.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dd…af8bbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…06e5backed Yes | 23c | 56.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4370…10a9backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…a5fcbacked Yes | 22c | 50.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…bd3fbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.