F1 · resolved market
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce8872f7f02710ee873a94bc39cf497cd40c00d2c04db29826788e17f13818c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $456,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 6c | 29,573$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 11,229$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.13 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…59c0backed Yes | 12c | 4,202$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 6c | 2,010$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7b…414cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,627$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…00a2backed Yes | 12c | 1,622$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…073ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,343$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 12c | 1,302$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…d7c4backed Yes | 1c | 1,245$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…ef00backed Yes | 5c | 1,125$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 4c | 700$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…9362backed Yes | 2c | 685.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 3c | 524.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8250…ddd0backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…a1adbacked Yes | 2c | 495.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 5c | 450$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +167.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes | 3c | 385.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9abbbacked Yes | 3c | 375.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes | 3c | 350.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…7336backed Yes | 10c | 326.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…bf5bbacked Yes | 12c | 268.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…ad47backed Yes | 11c | 265.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 10c | 252.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ab…ac7cbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 12c | 214.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…11dabacked Yes | 6c | 172.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…6039backed Yes | 12c | 172.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…008abacked Yes | 12c | 169.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4600…78aabacked Yes | 12c | 162.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes | 11c | 136.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…28e2backed Yes | 12c | 123.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc72…0b7abacked Yes | 22c | 103.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb54…2c07backed Yes | 11c | 100.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.