MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc07566e39a0ec006ded644acfc3c1bb5c3e7ef41d0c314dd5b2602b54488e260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Yankees, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,038,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,048,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,038,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 37c | 867,043$323,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543,195.65 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yankees | 63c | 178,888$111,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,810.56 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees | 62c | 160,706$99,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,637.72 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Yankees | 63c | 86,180$54,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,293.4 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yankees | 63c | 64,631$40,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,508.71 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yankees | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yankees | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,500 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yankees | 63c | 33,300$20,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,979 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 63c | 30,346$19,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,118 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yankees | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Yankees | 63c | 27,560$17,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,362.8 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees | 63c | 27,000$17,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,010 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Twins | 38c | 26,009$9,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,080.09 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 62c | 24,055$15,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,029.65 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 37c | 21,613$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,616.37 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 62c | 20,820$12,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,960.66 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 51c | 14,628$7,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,492.46 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 62c | 11,800$7,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 63c | 10,888$6,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,849.44 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yankees | 63c | 9,450$5,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,953.5 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 63c | 9,422$5,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,949.13 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Twins | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,409.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Twins | 37c | 5,003$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 63c | 5,000$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees | 62c | 4,993$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.58 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 63c | 4,961$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yankees | 3c | 3,724$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Twins | 78c | 3,591$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.16 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Yankees | 63c | 3,359$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…cc88backed Yankees | 63c | 3,300$2,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Yankees | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yankees | 62c | 2,643$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.85 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Yankees | 64c | 2,359$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yankees | 63c | 2,292$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 64c | 2,221$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.34 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yankees | 39c | 2,008$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yankees | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Twins | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 57c | 1,915$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.88 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Yankees | 63c | 1,900$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Twins | 38c | 1,823$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.03 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Twins | 37c | 1,770$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.1 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed Yankees | 63c | 1,700$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Yankees | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Yankees | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f08…5585backed Yankees | 64c | 1,355$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Twins | 55c | 1,344$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.57 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yankees | 47c | 1,134$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.42 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yankees | 62c | 1,100$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yankees | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…df7bbacked Yankees | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 37c | 999.9$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yankees | 63c | 983$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.29 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Yankees | 62c | 956.19$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.84 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Yankees | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Twins | 75c | 899.31$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 36c | 861$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.04 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yankees | 64c | 806.28$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.02 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yankees | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yankees | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Yankees | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yankees | 64c | 793.56$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.88 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Yankees | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees | 46c | 769.94$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.87 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Twins | 38c | 697.89$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.69 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yankees | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…5e89backed Yankees | 63c | 631.46$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Twins | 36c | 628$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.92 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Yankees | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Yankees | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yankees | 63c | 614.41$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.08 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Yankees | 63c | 613.96$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.79 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yankees | 64c | 608.08$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.17 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Yankees | 63c | 567.03$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.23 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Twins | 37c | 549.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.49 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Yankees | 64c | 523.44$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Twins | 36c | 500.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.63 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Yankees | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 37c | 499.96$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 36c | 499.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yankees | 29c | 476.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Yankees | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Twins | 37c | 462.26$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.26 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Yankees | 63c | 458$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.54 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Yankees | 64c | 454.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.19 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yankees | 7c | 452.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Twins | 37c | 399.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Yankees | 63c | 395$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yankees | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Yankees | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yankees | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Yankees | 63c | 316.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yankees | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…59e4backed Yankees | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Yankees | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Twinsthis page
- Spread: Yankees (-1.5)Twins won
- Yankees vs. Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.