NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x817aef1ef7bdedcdb87180eb0924f4e82809b1b25575d77db62d03f1528c358e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $344,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 651 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Bruins | 41c | 97,516$39,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,610.05 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Lightning | 59c | 72,665$42,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,792.78 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Lightning | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,999.99 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Bruins | 41c | 33,427$13,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,705.12 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Lightning | 59c | 30,628$18,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,557.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Bruins | 16c | 22,223$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.3 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Lightning | 61c | 16,970$10,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,618.24 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bruins | 35c | 12,705$4,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.74 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Bruins | 41c | 12,100$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,961 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 41c | 10,701$4,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,387.41 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 59c | 9,661$5,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.86 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Bruins | 39c | 8,543$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.6 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…e9d2backed Lightning | 61c | 8,197$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bruins | 40c | 6,020$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.3 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Lightning | 59c | 5,629$3,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.95 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…102ebacked Bruins | 39c | 5,010$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.9 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Lightning | 60c | 4,004$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 79c | 3,200$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.12 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Lightning | 76c | 2,878$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.84 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bruins | 39c | 2,547$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.77 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Lightning | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Bruins | 36c | 2,432$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.5 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bruins | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.02 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…fd7ebacked Lightning | 61c | 1,975$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…3d77backed Bruins | 40c | 1,963$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Lightning | 59c | 1,954$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.17 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7f…472ebacked Lightning | 61c | 1,704$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f92…35a7backed Bruins | 39c | 1,702$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Lightning | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bruins | 39c | 1,561$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.61 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…3f8bbacked Bruins | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8b…8f61backed Lightning | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bruins | 40c | 1,385$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bruins | 39c | 1,164$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.64 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bruins | 16c | 1,084$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.07 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lightning | 60c | 1,031$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.56 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Bruins | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Bruins | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Bruins | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 79c | 968.39$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.37 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Lightning | 59c | 919.49$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.99 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Lightning | 60c | 875$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lightning | 60c | 829$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.6 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Lightning | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Bruins | 19c | 790.75$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bruins | 19c | 700.42$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Bruins | 33c | 700$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Bruins | 30c | 658.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bruins | 21c | 602$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Lightning | 63c | 553$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.93 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Lightning | 59c | 553$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Bruins | 20c | 550$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684a…1b69backed Lightning | 75c | 514.8$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Bruins | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Bruins | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Bruins | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Bruins | 16c | 482.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…ed86backed Bruins | 24c | 458.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Lightning | 60c | 428.36$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Lightning | 60c | 425$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.07 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Bruins | 24c | 411.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bruins | 41c | 403$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.23 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Bruins | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2aa…3947backed Lightning | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…c53ebacked Lightning | 60c | 380$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 59c | 378.19$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…4740backed Bruins | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Bruins | 39c | 350$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bruins | 33c | 329$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0989backed Bruins | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…3e1ebacked Bruins | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Bruins | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…8c0ebacked Bruins | 40c | 252.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…963ebacked Bruins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Bruins | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Bruins | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Bruins | 33c | 249.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked Bruins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Bruins | 40c | 243.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Bruins | 18c | 227.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Bruins | 34c | 219.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 60c | 217.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…2484backed Lightning | 61c | 214.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdb…8a08backed Bruins | 40c | 214.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Bruins | 18c | 203.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Lightning | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8194…22adbacked Bruins | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…f03cbacked Bruins | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6e…5f91backed Bruins | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…7010backed Lightning | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…b903backed Bruins | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…6595backed Lightning | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…d1bfbacked Lightning | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…b885backed Lightning | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Lightning | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…3943backed Bruins | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Lightning | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Bruins | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…c3eabacked Lightning | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Lightning | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Bruinsthis page
- Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.