WNBA · resolved market
Mercury vs. Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15c1d194a00a40cece6d83b9c946afcce10ecc53398fc86017176bf7ad56e53c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Mercury, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Aces | 60c | 30,755$18,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,302.1 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mercury | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mercury | 46c | 29,152$13,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,539.24 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Aces | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Mercury | 41c | 9,765$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Mercury | 39c | 8,844$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Aces | 49c | 7,076$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…28bfbacked Aces | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Aces | 60c | 6,903$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Aces | 60c | 6,021$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Mercury | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aces | 56c | 5,905$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,623.45 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Mercury | 41c | 4,384$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.01 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mercury | 57c | 4,343$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Aces | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mercury | 39c | 3,569$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.03 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mercury | 41c | 3,550$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.99 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…6354backed Aces | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf74e…fc81backed Mercury | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…037abacked Aces | 62c | 3,496$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Aces | 58c | 3,490$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.39 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Aces | 55c | 3,106$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Aces | 46c | 2,904$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.54 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mercury | 57c | 2,833$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.95 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Aces | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mercury | 40c | 2,490$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed Mercury | 40c | 2,218$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Mercury | 42c | 1,826$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Aces | 58c | 1,568$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Aces | 44c | 1,555$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Aces | 43c | 1,482$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.58 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mercury | 40c | 1,452$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.88 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mercury | 40c | 1,313$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.2 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Aces | 59c | 1,300$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Mercury | 41c | 1,296$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…ce7ebacked Mercury | 51c | 1,274$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Mercury | 41c | 1,263$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Aces | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Aces | 58c | 1,078$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Aces | 60c | 1,056$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +76%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aces | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…f618backed Mercury | 3c | 901.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Aces | 68c | 883.99$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Aces | 50c | 786.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5d…38b5backed Aces | 65c | 774.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab7…d178backed Mercury | 63c | 758.45$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Aces | 59c | 754.97$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.54 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa161…86fdbacked Mercury | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…2f3fbacked Mercury | 41c | 695.12$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…e577backed Aces | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercury | 50c | 656$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.47 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…6bfcbacked Mercury | 39c | 635.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mercury | 26c | 615.49$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aces | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Mercury | 39c | 560.31$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…6e04backed Mercury | 40c | 560$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Aces | 54c | 536.66$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b8…be4cbacked Aces | 61c | 527.42$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Aces | 47c | 516.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Aces | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Aces | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Mercury | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Aces | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Mercury | 27c | 490.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Aces | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Mercury | 66c | 481.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aces | 49c | 453$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.13 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Aces | 60c | 434.8$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.92 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Mercury | 42c | 419.42$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Aces | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mercury | 40c | 397$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…e211backed Aces | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Aces | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Aces | 51c | 306.29$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Mercury | 39c | 306.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed Mercury | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Mercury | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mercury | 32c | 277.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.95 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Aces | 60c | 270.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Mercury | 39c | 269.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mercury | 7c | 266$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mercury | 40c | 251.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Aces | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Aces | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…04f5backed Mercury | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Aces | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mercury | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mercury | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Mercury | 38c | 243.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mercury | 39c | 238.56$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Aces | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673f…6ab0backed Aces | 77c | 219.74$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mercury | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Aces | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Aces | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8714…4750backed Mercury | 52c | 192.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Aces | 54c | 185.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mercury | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Mercury | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Aces | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.