NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x364d7b00424aeee3e6fb13372d96edcdd84c10dd2c19149f2fb483d60f1f8fdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Capitals, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $638,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $651,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 822 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 47c | 160,009$75,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,303.73 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Panthers | 52c | 64,058$33,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,440.26 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Panthers | 54c | 40,933$22,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,828.96 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 54c | 24,716$13,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,445.57 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Panthers | 53c | 14,872$7,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,989.6 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 52c | 12,066$6,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,732.17 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 45c | 8,938$4,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,022.1 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Panthers | 54c | 8,888$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.48 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 45c | 8,459$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,824.49 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 54c | 7,672$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.66 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 46c | 7,100$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 46c | 7,088$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.39 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Panthers | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Panthers | 52c | 5,480$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.4 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d2…1ae6backed Capitals | 46c | 5,370$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers | 54c | 5,261$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.54 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Capitals | 47c | 5,249$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.85 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e33…e52abacked Panthers | 54c | 5,209$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Panthers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Capitals | 49c | 4,980$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.2 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Panthers | 52c | 4,887$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.76 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Panthers | 53c | 4,866$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.5 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6953…a7ccbacked Panthers | 54c | 4,787$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691c…622ebacked Capitals | 46c | 4,626$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Panthers | 53c | 4,607$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.29 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Panthers | 55c | 4,220$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Panthers | 53c | 4,138$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.05 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 33c | 3,704$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.08 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Panthers | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.13 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 48c | 3,250$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.06 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Panthers | 53c | 3,000$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.41 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Panthers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Panthers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Capitals | 51c | 2,931$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Capitals | 69c | 2,795$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.29 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…004bbacked Capitals | 46c | 2,693$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Panthers | 60c | 2,687$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.94 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa51d…3d7ebacked Panthers | 54c | 2,680$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 46c | 2,499$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.13 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Panthers | 39c | 2,477$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.46 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Capitals | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.32 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Panthers | 54c | 2,010$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.6 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Capitals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…52c8backed Capitals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2edebacked Panthers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Capitals | 50c | 1,903$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.23 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Panthers | 53c | 1,838$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.82 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df4…0287backed Panthers | 70c | 1,822$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…2190backed Panthers | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Capitals | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Capitals | 45c | 1,630$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.44 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Panthers | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.01 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Panthers | 55c | 1,586$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.27 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Capitals | 43c | 1,545$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.24 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Capitals | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.93 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Capitals | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5b…1112backed Capitals | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd127…c5c0backed Panthers | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1442…c2ebbacked Capitals | 45c | 1,498$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.1 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…4bb7backed Panthers | 55c | 1,498$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.1 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…f493backed Capitals | 45c | 1,495$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…1300backed Panthers | 55c | 1,495$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.75 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512b…45e7backed Capitals | 45c | 1,483$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.35 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…1919backed Panthers | 55c | 1,483$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.35 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Capitals | 30c | 1,479$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.13 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4d…b22fbacked Panthers | 55c | 1,478$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.1 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…b878backed Capitals | 45c | 1,478$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.1 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -8.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x27e5…9b19backed Capitals | 45c | 1,477$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.65 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…f0ddbacked Panthers | 55c | 1,477$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.65 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca33…8590backed Capitals | 45c | 1,474$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.3 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…4393backed Panthers | 55c | 1,474$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.3 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cf…a38ebacked Capitals | 45c | 1,473$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.85 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae0…a5ecbacked Panthers | 55c | 1,473$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.85 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x919b…e497backed Panthers | 55c | 1,461$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.45 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ae…e0bfbacked Capitals | 45c | 1,461$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.45 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -8.3wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…7c3bbacked Capitals | 45c | 1,458$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…efd4backed Panthers | 55c | 1,458$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.1 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ef…aac6backed Capitals | 45c | 1,455$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefec…8f5ebacked Panthers | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.75 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 47c | 1,441$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.67 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef1…d14abacked Capitals | 45c | 1,438$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.1 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…00fdbacked Panthers | 55c | 1,438$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.1 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…92afbacked Panthers | 55c | 1,436$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.2 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…62a7backed Capitals | 45c | 1,436$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…d28ebacked Capitals | 45c | 1,432$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…5fd1backed Panthers | 55c | 1,432$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…e74bbacked Panthers | 55c | 1,428$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d82…ad87backed Capitals | 45c | 1,428$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc087…d9e4backed Capitals | 45c | 1,425$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…3df9backed Panthers | 55c | 1,425$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…9877backed Panthers | 55c | 1,423$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.35 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9071…a042backed Capitals | 45c | 1,423$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.35 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…3441backed Panthers | 55c | 1,423$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.35 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…8fe7backed Capitals | 45c | 1,423$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…2a37backed Panthers | 55c | 1,421$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…e521backed Capitals | 45c | 1,421$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.45 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c94…83d4backed Panthers | 55c | 1,420$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81f…6883backed Capitals | 45c | 1,420$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Panthersthis page
- Capitals vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.